New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-148) Milwaukee (+126)

The New York Yankees (17-10) are traveling to American Family Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (17-8). The moneyline on this game has New York at -148 while Milwaukee is sitting at +126. The total is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Carlos Rodon and Joe Ross.

The Yankees have accrued 35 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 30 balls out of the stadium. New York is slugging .379 and have been called out on strikes 215 times, while taking a walk on 116 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, which puts them at 14th in baseball. They have earned 109 runs batted in in addition to 209 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average comes in at .236. They have tallied 118 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .327.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.42 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 24 home runs in addition to 97 total runs (5th in baseball). New York has relinquished 197 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 82 earned runs. The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.01 on the campaign (3rd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 230 batters. They have walked 95 batters and their FIP is 3.84 as a unit on the campaign.

Yankees relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 32 times and also have had 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 15 holds so far this season (16th in the league). The Yankees bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 72.2% and stepped onto the hill in 33 save situations. They have compiled 13 saves so far this year and have missed out on 5 out of their 18 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 41 base runners over the course of the season and 46.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Yankees have sent 84 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Yankees have turned 71.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,205 innings on the field, which ranks them 6th in MLB. The New York Yankees have accumulated 735 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 239 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .980 which has them ranked 26th in pro baseball, and have earned 22 double plays.

Rodon (53-34 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.61 while facing 3,028 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 612 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 272 walks. His earned run average is 3.38 (272 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.220. Rodon has thrown 724 innings and is sitting with 707 punch outs thus far in his career.

Milwaukee has a total of 33 home runs this year to go along with 126 runs batted in. They have put up 36 two-baggers, while taking a walk 94 times as well as notching 134 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers hold an OBP of .339 and a batting average of .262 so far this season. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .421 and they score 5.36 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have struck out on 230 occasions (12th in the league) and have totaled 230 hits.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 98 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.46 (86 earned runs yielded). They have given up 27 homers and they concede 3.94 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.241 with a FIP of 4.17 as a staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.10 (201 strikeouts vs 86 walks). They come in at 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 192.

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.2% out of 39 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 35 times in high leverage situations and on 27 occasions with runners on base. With 30 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 16 holds and 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 11th in the league with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 85 relief pitchers onto the field on the season. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 14 save opportunities and they have converted 10 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 16 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in pro baseball). The Brewers have recorded 219 assists, 13 errors and have a tally of 672 putouts over the course of the season. In 2,016 innings played, the Brewers hold a efficiency on defense of 72.1% (5th in professional baseball).

Ross (93-95 career record) holds a 3.75 earned run average while surrendering 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and he has gone up against 7,654 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up 760 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.283 and a FIP of 3.6. In his pro baseball career, Ross has conceded 1,800 base hits while accumulating 1,612 K's in 1,825 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-148)

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