New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 3/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Minute Maid Park is where the Houston Astros (90-72 last season) will compete against the New York Yankees (82-80 last year) on Saturday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Marcus Stroman and Hunter Brown.

New York had a slugging % of .397 and were rung up 1,427 times, while taking a walk on 557 occasions. They accumulated 650 RBI's as well as 1,207 hits in the previous season, and their team batting average sat at .227. The Yankees hit 221 two-baggers as a team and hit 219 baseballs out of the stadium. They notched a total of 673 runs while having a team OBP of .304. As a team, the New York Yankees put up 4.2 runs per outing, which ranked them 25th in MLB.

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They earned a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.24. Yankees pitchers relinquished 195 home runs in addition to 698 total runs (10th in baseball). New York surrendered 1,272 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 635 earned runs. The Yankees had an earned run average of 3.97 during the previous year (9th in MLB), and their staff struck out 1,439 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 508 players from the other team and their FIP finished at 4.25 as a squad for the previous season.

The Yankees had sent 503 relief pitchers to the mound for the prior year. The relievers inherited 249 runners in the prior season with 35.7% of them crossed the plate. They earned 44 saves over the course of last year and missed out on 19 of their 63 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers accumulated a save rate of 69.8% and stepped onto the mound in 147 save situations. The relief pitchers notched 83 holds over the course of last year (17th in MLB). Yankees relief pitchers entered the contest with runners on 172 times in addition to having 180 contests in high leverage situations.

The Yankees turned 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,957 innings, which ranked them 3rd in pro baseball. The New York Yankees notched a total of 4,319 putouts in the prior season, in addition to 1,427 assists and 96 errors. Their fielding percentage was previously at .984 which had them ranked 23rd in baseball, and accumulated 113 double plays.

Stroman (77-76 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.63 and he has faced 5,423 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,257 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 376 walks. His ERA is 3.65 (529 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.253. Stroman has thrown 1,303 innings and is sitting with 1,091 K's during his career.

The Houston Astros recorded an OBP of .331 in addition to a team batting average of .259 over the course of the prior season. They struck out on 1,241 occasions (28th in MLB) and earned a total of 1,441 hits. Houston hit 222 home runs over the course of last season and 799 runs batted in. The Astros had a team SLG% of .437 and they averaged 5.10 runs per game (5th in baseball). They put up 280 doubles, while walking 550 times and racking up 827 runs.

The Houston pitching staff surrendered 698 runs for the previous season while having a team ERA of 3.94 (632 earned runs given up). They gave up 201 homers and they relinquished 4.35 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Astros finished with a team WHIP of 1.279 and had a FIP of 4.31 as a pitching staff in the prior season. Their K/BB ratio sat at 9.10 (1,460 strikeouts against 537 walks). They ranked 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,312.

Wrapping up the year with 148 save situations, the Astros recorded 86 holds and also 19 blown saves. Houston had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 61 save opportunities and they tallied 42 saves. Their relievers took the field 151 times in high leverage situations and on 97 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers had an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of 161 inherited runners. They ranked 6th in baseball with a save rate of 68.9%, and they dispatched 513 relief pitchers onto the field last year.

In their 13,008 innings played, the Astros accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (10th in pro baseball). The Houston Astros had 144 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Astros racked up 1,346 assists, 81 errors and had 4,336 putouts over the course of the prior season.

Brown (13-13 career record) has earned a 4.60 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and he has faced 745 batters during his MLB career. He has allowed 90 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.330 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Brown has conceded 172 base hits while he has earned 200 strikeouts in 176 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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