New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 3/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, March 29, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-110) Houston (-110)

The New York Yankees (82-80 last year) are hitting the road to Minute Maid Park on Friday where they will go up against the Houston Astros (90-72 last season). The moneyline on this matchup has the Yankees at -110 while the Astros open at -110. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Carlos Rodon and Cristian Javier.

The Yankees tallied 221 two-baggers as a team and hit 219 baseballs out of the stadium. New York had a slugging rate of .397 and struck out 1,427 times, while being walked on 557 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees put up 4.2 runs per game, which was 25th in the league. They amassed 650 RBI's and 1,207 base knocks during the previous year, while their batting average was .227. They had a total of 673 runs and held an OBP of .304.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.83 and the pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Yankees pitchers relinquished 195 home runs and 698 runs (10th in the league). New York conceded 1,272 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 635 earned runs. The Yankees had an ERA of 3.97 for the previous season (9th in the league), and the staff rung up 1,439 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 508 opposing hitters and their FIP was 4.25 as a squad during the previous year.

Yankees relief pitchers entered the contest with runners on base 172 times as well as having 180 games in high leverage situations. The bullpen finished with 83 holds in the previous season (17th in baseball). The Yankees relievers recorded a save percentage of 69.8% and stepped onto the hill in 147 save situations. They compiled 44 saves for the previous season and blew 19 of 63 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers inherited 249 runners over the course of the prior season and 35.7% of them earned a run for their team. The Yankees dispatched 503 relief pitchers to the hill for the previous season.

The New York Yankees finished with 4,319 putouts last season, in addition to 1,427 assists and 96 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .984 which had them ranked 23rd in pro baseball, and had a total of 113 double plays. The Yankees converted 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,957 innings on the field, which had them ranked 3rd in professional baseball.

Rodon has thrown 911 innings and has accounted for 1,011 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.83 (388 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.254. He has given up 796 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 347 walks. Rodon (59-54 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.74 while he has gone up against 3,853 batters in the majors.

The Houston Astros earned an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a batting average of .259 last season. They struck out on 1,241 occasions (28th in MLB) and notched a total of 1,441 hits. Houston accounted for 222 home runs last year and 799 runs batted in. The Astros held a team slugging percentage of .437 and they averaged 5.10 runs per game (5th in the league). They hit 280 doubles, while taking a walk 550 times as well as putting up 827 runs.

The Houston pitching staff given up 698 runs over the course of last season while holding an ERA of 3.94 (632 earned runs surrendered). They yielded 201 homers and they relinquished 4.35 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Astros had a WHIP of 1.279 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.31 as a squad during the previous year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 9.10 (1,460 strikeouts against 537 bases on balls). They finished at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,312.

With 148 save situations, the Astros tallied 86 holds and also 19 blown saves. Houston called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 61 save opportunities and they tallied 42 saves. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 97 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers had an inherited score percentage of 31.1% out of 161 inherited base runners. They were ranked 6th in baseball holding a save rate of 68.9%, and they dispatched 513 relievers to the mound last year.

The Houston Astros turned 144 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Astros racked up 1,346 assists, 81 errors and had 4,336 putouts last season. Out of their 13,008 innings played, the Astros held a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (10th in MLB).

Javier (30-17 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.57 earned run average and has given up 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.90 and he has gone up against 1,910 batters so far in his career. He has allowed a total of 185 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.115 and a FIP of 4.1. In his career, Javier has conceded 335 hits while he has totaled 537 punch outs in 466 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-110)

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