New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 10/19/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, October 19, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: TBS

The Cleveland Guardians (92-69) will go up against the New York Yankees (94-68) at Progressive Field on Saturday in Game 5 of the ALCS. The pitchers taking the mound will be Carlos Rodon and Ben Lively. New York opens at -115 while Cleveland is at +105. The total opens at 8.

New York has a slugging % of .429 and have been rung up 1,326 times, while drawing a walk on 672 occasions. They have 782 RBI's in addition to 1,352 base knocks this year, while their team batting average sits at .248. The Yankees have hit 243 doubles as a team and have hit 237 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 815 runs while holding a team OBP of .333. As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 5.0 runs per outing, which puts them at 3rd in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.73 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Yankees pitchers have given up 181 home runs and also 668 runs in total (9th in the league). New York has given up 1,272 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 604 earned runs. The Yankees have an ERA of 3.74 on the year (7th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,457 hitters. They have walked 533 opposing players and their FIP is 4.06 as a team on the season.

The Yankees have dispatched 521 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 253 base runners on the year with 35.2% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 45 saves for the year and have blown 21 of 66 chances to save the game. The Yankees relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 68.2% and stepped onto the hill in 151 save situations. The bullpen have notched 83 holds so far this year (18th in the league). Yankees bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 173 times in addition to having 150 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Yankees have accumulated 4,358 putouts this season, as well as 1,320 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 24th in MLB, and have 112 double plays. The Yankees have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 13,074 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 13th in baseball.

Rodon (75-63 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.80 while going up against 4,589 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 953 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 404 free passes. His earned run average is 3.85 (465 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.249. Rodon has taken the ball for 1,086 innings and has totaled 1,206 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Cleveland Guardians have an on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .238 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,196 instances (27th in MLB) and have 1,263 base hits. Cleveland has 185 home runs so far this year and 670 RBIs. The Guardians have a SLG% of .395 and they have an average of 4.40 runs per game (14th in the league). They have put up 245 two-baggers, while taking a walk 466 times and scoring 708 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.202 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a squad on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,410 strikeouts against 492 walks). They rank 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,224. They have conceded 179 dingers and they concede 3.91 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 621 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.61 (572 earned runs yielded).

With 193 save situations, the Guardians have accrued 122 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 69 save chances and they have come away with 53 saves. Their relievers have come in 198 times in high leverage situations and also on 170 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.0% out of 235 inherited base runners. They are ranked 1st in baseball holding a save rate of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 593 relievers onto the diamond on the year.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 130 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in pro baseball). The Guardians have 1,377 assists, 87 errors and have a tally of 4,284 putouts so far this year. In 12,852 innings on the diamond, the Guardians are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (5th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Lively has surrendered 369 base knocks while he has totaled 277 strikeouts in 360 innings pitched. Lively (21-27 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.53 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 181 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.339 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.45 and he has gone up against 1,538 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-115)

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