New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 10/18/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Friday, October 18, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: TBS

The New York Yankees (94-68) are en route to Progressive Field on Friday where they will play the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) in Game 4 of the ALCS. The starting pitchers are Luis Gil and Gavin Williams. The Yankees open at -115 and Cleveland is at -105. The total is 7.5.

New York is slugging .429 and have struck out 1,326 times, while being walked on 672 occasions. They have 782 runs batted in as well as 1,352 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate is at .248. The Yankees have accounted for 243 doubles as a squad and have smacked 237 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 815 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .333. As a squad, the New York Yankees are recording 5.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 3rd in baseball.

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The Yankees have a team earned run average of 3.74 so far this season (7th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,457 hitters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 181 home runs in addition to 668 runs (9th in baseball). They have walked 533 hitters and their FIP is 4.06 as a unit for the year. New York has conceded 1,272 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 604 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24.

The Yankees have dispatched 521 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 253 runners so far this year with 35.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have earned 45 saves on the campaign and have blown 21 of their 66 chances to save the game. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 68.2% and has entered the game in 151 save situations. The relievers have a total of 83 holds so far this season (18th in the league). Yankees bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 173 times as well as having 150 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have converted 70.3% of balls in play into outs out of 13,074 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 13th in MLB. The New York Yankees have accounted for 4,358 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,320 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 24th in the majors, and have 112 double plays.

Gil has taken the ball for 184 frames and has earned 214 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.56 (73 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.232. He has conceded 129 base hits (6.3 hits per nine innings) and has 98 walks. Gil (16-8 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.51 and he has faced 785 opposing hitters in the majors.

Cleveland has tallied 185 home runs on the campaign and 670 RBIs. They have recorded 245 two-baggers, while taking a walk 466 times as well as racking up 708 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have tallied a team OBP of .307 and a batting average of .238 on the campaign. The Guardians hold a slugging percentage of .395 and they tally 4.40 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,196 instances (27th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,263 hits.

The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 621 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.61 (572 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 179 dingers and they allow 3.91 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.202 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a unit so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,410 strikeouts vs 492 free passes). They come in at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,224.

Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.0% of 235 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 198 times in high leverage situations and on 170 occasions with runners on. With 193 save situations, the Guardians have accumulated 122 holds and 16 blown saves. They sit at 1st in the league with a save percentage of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 593 relievers onto the diamond this season. Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 69 save chances and they have tallied 53 saves.

In 12,852 innings played, the Guardians have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (5th in professional baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 130 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in MLB). The Guardians have racked up 1,377 assists, 87 errors and have a total of 4,284 putouts on the campaign.

Williams (6-15 career mark) has earned a 4.04 earned run average and has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and he has faced 677 batters during his career. He has allowed 71 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.310 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. In his career, Williams has surrendered 138 base hits and he has 160 punch outs in 158 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-105)

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