New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 10/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, October 17, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: TBS

The Cleveland Guardians (92-69) will compete against the New York Yankees (94-68) at Progressive Field on Thursday in Game 3 of the ALCS. The Yankees lead 2-0. The pitchers expected to start will be Clarke Schmidt and Matthew Boyd. New York opens at -115 while Cleveland is at -105. The total is 7.5.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.0 runs/g, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have accounted for 815 runs scored and have an OBP of .333. The Yankees have accumulated 243 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 237 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 782 runs batted in in addition to 1,352 hits so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .248. New York has a slugging percentage of .429 and have struck out 1,326 times, while drawing a walk on 672 occasions.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 3.74 this season (7th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,457 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 181 home runs in addition to 668 runs in total (9th in the league). They have walked 533 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.06 as a team over the course of the season. New York has given up 1,272 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 604 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Yankees have sent 521 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 253 runners on the season and 35.2% of them ended up scoring. They have 45 saves on the campaign and have blown 21 out of their 66 save chances. The Yankees bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 68.2% and has entered the game in 151 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 83 holds this year (18th in the league). Yankees pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 173 times in addition to having 150 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have turned 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 13,074 innings, which has them ranked 13th in pro baseball. The New York Yankees have 4,358 putouts this year, in addition to 1,320 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which puts them in 24th in the majors, and have earned 112 double plays.

Schmidt (19-20 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.89 while he has faced 1,354 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 304 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 109 free passes. His ERA is 3.95 (138 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.314. Schmidt has pitched in 314 frames and has totaled 311 K's during his MLB career.

The Cleveland Guardians have a team OBP of .307 as well as a team batting average of .238 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 1,196 occasions (27th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,263 base knocks. Cleveland has accounted for 185 home runs on the year to go along with 670 RBIs. The Guardians have a team slugging % of .395 and they are scoring 4.40 runs per game (14th in the league). They have 245 two-baggers, while taking a walk 466 times and recording 708 runs.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.202 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (1,410 strikeouts against 492 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,224. They have conceded 179 HR's and they surrender 3.91 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 621 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.61 (572 earned runs allowed).

Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 69 save opportunities and they have earned 53 saves. They are currently ranked 1st in the league holding a save percentage of 76.8%, and they have sent 593 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 198 times in high leverage situations in addition to 170 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.0% out of their 235 inherited base runners. Sitting with 193 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 122 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In 12,852 innings played, the Guardians have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (5th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 130 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (17th in the majors). The Guardians have racked up 1,377 assists, 87 errors and have notched a total of 4,284 putouts this year.

Boyd (46-69 career mark) has earned a 4.85 earned run average and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.03 and he has gone up against 3,896 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 489 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.8. In his MLB career, Boyd has allowed 899 base hits while accumulating 891 punch outs in 907 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-115)

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