New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 28, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The New York Yankees (60-44) are on their way to Fenway Park on Sunday where they will play the Boston Red Sox (54-47). The men taking the mound will be Carlos Rodon and Tanner Houck.

The Yankees have recorded 149 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 149 baseballs out of the park. New York is slugging .427 and have been rung up 836 times, while being walked on 417 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have compiled 493 runs batted in and 855 hits for the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .247. They have a total of 513 runs while holding a team OBP of .331.

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The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 3.61 so far this year (4th in the league), and their staff has struck out 906 hitters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 123 long balls in addition to 414 total runs (7th in MLB). They have walked 336 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a team for the season. New York has allowed 784 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 372 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Yankees relievers have a save percentage of 69.2% and has come into the game in 86 save situations. The relievers have inherited 176 runners on the year with 34.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. Yankees pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 114 times in addition to having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 320 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have recorded 45 holds on the season (25th in the league). They have accumulated 27 saves on the season and have missed out on 12 of their 39 save chances.

The New York Yankees are sitting with 2,779 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 833 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which has them ranked 24th in professional baseball, and they have turned 72 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.6% of balls in play into outs out of 8,337 innings on the field, which ranks them 4th in MLB.

Rodon has pitched in 1,025 innings and has earned 1,133 K's during his career. Rodon (69-61 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.84 and he has faced 4,337 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.90 (444 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.252. He has given up 902 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 382 free passes.

Boston has recorded 121 home runs on the campaign as well as 462 RBIs. They have 192 doubles, while taking a walk 316 times as well as putting up 480 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .324 and a team batting average of .257 this year. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .430 and they are earning 4.75 runs per game (9th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 974 occasions (4th in the league) and have 897 base hits.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 451 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.81 (384 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 111 dingers and they yield 4.47 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.215 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (874 strikeouts against 267 walks). They rank 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 836.

Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.7% of 110 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 109 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 92 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 47 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They are ranked 21st in MLB with a save rate of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 305 relievers onto the field for the season. Boston has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 43 save chances and they have earned 26 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 71 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have 882 assists, 74 errors and have accumulated 2,725 putouts for the season. In 8,175 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (23rd in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Houck has surrendered 321 hits while accumulating 377 punch outs in 375 innings. He has allowed 145 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.181 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 and he has gone up against 1,565 batters during his MLB career. Houck (23-25 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.48 earned run average while conceding 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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