New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+115) Tampa Bay (-140)

The New York Mets (16-16) are on their way to Tropicana Field on Sunday where they will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (15-18). The moneyline on this game has the Mets at +115 while the Rays are sitting at -140. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Luis Severino and Ryan Pepiot.

New York has a slugging percentage of .376 and have struck out 242 times, while being walked on 105 occasions. They have earned 137 RBI's in addition to 260 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate is at .238. The Mets have hit 47 doubles as a squad and have smacked 34 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 143 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. As a team, the New York Mets are earning 4.5 runs per contest, which ranks them 16th in MLB.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.11 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have relinquished 19 long balls and also 138 runs in total (16th in the league). New York has allowed 231 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and also 117 earned runs. The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.64 over the course of the season (11th in the league), and the staff has rung up 299 hitters. They have walked 142 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.57 as a team so far this season.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 33 times as well as having 43 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 18 holds this season (15th in baseball). The Mets bullpen have earned a save rate of 72.7% and has come into the game in 29 save situations. They have recorded 8 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 3 of 11 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 41 base runners over the course of the season and 29.3% of those runners crossed home plate. The Mets have dispatched 108 relievers to the mound this year.

The Mets have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,601 innings on the field, ranking them 13th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have 867 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 261 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them ranked 21st in MLB, and they have turned 28 double plays.

Severino has taken the ball for 762 innings and has earned 819 punch outs so far in his career. Severino (56-39 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.70 while he has faced 3,165 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.72 (315 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.179. He has given up 673 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 226 walks.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a team on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a batting average of .243 so far this year. They have struck out on 297 occasions (7th in baseball) and have 269 base hits. Tampa Bay has hit 27 long balls on the year as well as 118 RBIs. The Rays have a team SLG% of .357 and they have an average of 3.94 runs per contest (21st in MLB). They have recorded 42 two-baggers, while taking a walk 89 times as well as scoring 130 runs.

The Rays have a WHIP of 1.332 with a FIP of 4.28 as a staff on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (288 strikeouts against 103 walks). They come in at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 289. They have surrendered 44 dingers and they concede 5.23 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have relinquished 171 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.74 (155 earned runs yielded).

With 44 save situations, the Rays have compiled 25 holds and also 8 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers enter the game in 18 save chances and they have come away with 10 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 43 times in high leverage situations and on 24 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.5% out of 34 inherited runners. They rank 24th in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 102 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 21 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (10th in professional baseball). The Rays have accrued 241 assists, 16 errors and have earned 884 putouts for the year. In 2,652 innings played, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (23rd in professional baseball).

Pepiot (8-3 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 2.87 earned run average and has given up 5.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81 and he has faced 449 batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 36 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.018 and having a FIP of 4.3. In his career, Pepiot has allowed 73 base hits and he has 118 punch outs in 113 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+115)

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