New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/3/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, May 3, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Sportsnet New York

Tropicana Field is the site where the Tampa Bay Rays (14-18) will try to beat the New York Mets (15-15) on Friday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jose Quintana and Aaron Civale.

As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 17th in the league. They have earned 128 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. The Mets have tallied 40 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 32 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 122 RBI's and 242 hits this year, and their batting average is .238. New York has a slugging percentage of .373 and have struck out 222 times, while taking a walk on 99 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.20 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25. Mets pitchers have allowed 17 home runs and 122 total runs (9th in the league). New York has surrendered 209 base knocks (7.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 102 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 3.40 on the season (8th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 284 batters. They have walked 129 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.47 as a unit this season.

The Mets bullpen have a save rate of 72.7% and has come into the game in 29 save situations. The relievers have inherited 39 base runners this year and 30.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. Mets relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 30 times in addition to having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 100 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have recorded 18 holds so far this year (12th in the league). They have accumulated 8 saves so far this season and have missed out on 3 of their 11 save opportunities.

The Mets have turned 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,430 innings, which has them ranked 11th in MLB. The New York Mets have earned 810 putouts thus far, in addition to 238 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which has them sitting 26th in pro baseball, and they have turned 25 double plays.

Quintana has pitched in 1,833 frames and has earned 1,615 K's in his career. Quintana (93-95 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.63 and he has faced 7,683 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.74 (761 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.280. He has conceded 1,803 base knocks (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 543 free passes.

The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .352 and they are earning 3.75 runs per contest (23rd in baseball). They have notched 40 doubles, while getting a free base 83 times as well as notching 120 runs. Tampa Bay has recorded 26 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 108 runs batted in. They have struck out on 290 instances (7th in baseball) and are sitting with 256 base hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have an on-base percentage of .301 in addition to a batting average of .238 for the season.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.336 and have a FIP of 4.28 as a team so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (279 strikeouts vs 102 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 279. They have given up 42 home runs and they allow 5.14 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 163 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.64 (147 earned runs surrendered).

Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score percentage of 21.2% out of 33 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 43 times in high leverage situations in addition to 23 occasions with runners on base. With 41 save situations, the Rays have compiled 23 holds and 8 blown saves. They sit at 25th in baseball with a save rate of 52.9%, and they have sent 98 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 17 save opportunities and they have earned 9 saves.

In 2,571 innings played, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (22nd in MLB). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 21 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (10th in MLB). The Rays have racked up 235 assists, 16 errors and are sitting with 857 putouts this season.

During his career, Civale has allowed 469 hits while he has accumulated 462 punch outs in 507 innings pitched. Civale (33-28 career record) holds a 3.99 earned run average and has surrendered 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 225 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.175 and having a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has faced 2,086 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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