New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/15/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, September 15, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Philadelphia Phillies (88-58) will try to beat the New York Mets (80-66) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The expected starting pitchers are David Peterson and Cristopher Sanchez.

As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 4.7 runs per contest, which ranks them 9th in baseball. They have accumulated 692 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319. The Mets have hit 261 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 184 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 661 RBI's in addition to 1,225 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is .246. New York has a slugging percentage of .415 and have been rung up 1,249 times, while drawing a walk on 465 occasions.

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The Mets have a team earned run average of 3.97 over the course of the season (14th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,303 hitters. Mets pitchers have conceded 151 home runs and 633 total runs (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 539 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.13 as a team for the year. New York has given up 1,120 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 574 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.42 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Mets have dispatched 467 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 194 runners so far this year and 32.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have tallied 37 saves so far this season and have not converted 23 of their 60 save chances. The Mets bullpen have a save rate of 61.7% and has come into the game in 155 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 93 holds for the year (5th in the league). Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 145 times and also have had 163 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,724 innings on the field, which ranks them 13th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have earned a total of 3,908 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,270 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which puts them in 25th in MLB, and have a total of 122 double plays.

Peterson has taken the hill for 435 innings and has totaled 446 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Peterson (27-23 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.10 and he has faced 1,877 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.16 (201 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.397. He has allowed 414 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 193 walks.

The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .426 and they score 4.89 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have recorded 261 two-baggers, while walking 475 times as well as putting up 714 runs. Philadelphia has a total of 177 home runs on the campaign to go along with 682 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,217 occasions (19th in baseball) and have 1,297 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies hold an OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .259 on the campaign.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.212 with a FIP of 3.82 as a staff this year. They are sitting at 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,192. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 590 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.71 (538 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (1,289 strikeouts against 390 walks). They have surrendered 161 dingers and they relinquish 4.07 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league).

Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.2% out of 117 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 157 times in high leverage situations and also on 86 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 71 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They are currently ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.8%, and they have dispatched 466 relievers onto the diamond so far this year. Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 54 save opportunities and they have recorded 35 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 111 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,326 assists, 79 errors and have accounted for 3,916 putouts for the season. In 11,748 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in the majors).

Sanchez (16-16 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.72 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.62 and he has faced 1,315 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 131 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.221 and having a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, Sanchez has surrendered 310 base hits while he has totaled 279 K's in 317 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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