New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FS1

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) will try to beat the New York Mets (89-73) on Sunday in Game 2 of the NLDS. The expected starting pitchers will be Luis Severino and Cristopher Sanchez. The opeing line has Philly at -136 while the Mets open at +116. The total opens at 8.

The Mets have accrued 279 doubles as a team and have knocked 207 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .415 and have been rung up 1,382 times, while being walked on 514 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are compiling 4.7 runs per outing, which puts them at 7th in the league. They have recorded 735 RBI's and 1,357 hits this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .246. They have accumulated 768 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .319.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 3.96 this year (15th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,455 batters. Mets pitchers have given up 165 home runs and 697 total runs (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 586 opposing players and their FIP is 4.05 as a unit on the season. New York has given up 1,232 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 634 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.48 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.9% and stepped onto the hill in 163 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 214 base runners on the year and 34.1% of them crossed the plate. Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 159 times as well as having 173 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 516 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 97 holds over the course of the season (8th in MLB). They have tallied 39 saves this season and have not converted 25 of 64 chances to save the game.

The New York Mets are sitting with 4,327 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,408 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which is 25th in pro baseball, and have a total of 127 double plays. The Mets have transformed 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,981 innings, ranking them 9th in the majors.

Severino has pitched in 909 frames and has tallied 949 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.81 (385 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.197. He has given up 813 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 275 free passes. Severino (65-44 career record) holds a FIP of 3.75 while he has gone up against 3,783 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a team on-base percentage of .325 as well as a team batting average of .257 for the season. They have been rung up on 1,370 occasions (16th in MLB) and have a total of 1,423 base hits. Philadelphia has tallied 198 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 750 RBIs. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .425 and they are scoring 4.84 runs per outing (5th in baseball). They have put up 285 doubles, while walking 515 times as well as putting up 784 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 671 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.85 (617 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 181 long balls and they concede 4.19 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.236 in addition to having a FIP of 3.86 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (1,433 strikeouts against 444 bases on balls). They are sitting at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,339.

Sitting with 135 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 78 holds and 19 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relievers take the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have walked away with 37 saves. Their relievers have come in 168 times in high leverage situations and on 96 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 35.1% out of their 134 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 10th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.1%, and they have dispatched 517 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 121 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,467 assists, 85 errors and have earned 4,328 putouts this year. Out of their 12,984 innings on the diamond, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (21st in pro baseball).

Sanchez (17-16 career record) has a 3.70 earned run average while surrendering 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.54 and he has gone up against 1,386 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed 137 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.224 and having a FIP of 3.6. In his pro baseball career, Sanchez has allowed 324 base hits while tallying 297 K's in 333 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+116)

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