New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FOX

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) will take on the New York Mets (89-73) on Saturday in Game 1 of the NLDS. The expected starting pitchers will be David Peterson and Zack Wheeler. The opening line has Philly at -190 and the Mets at +160. The total opens at 7.5.

New York is slugging .415 and have been called out on strikes 1,382 times, while taking a walk on 514 occasions. They have 735 RBI's and 1,357 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .246. The Mets have accumulated 279 doubles as a squad and have hit 207 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 768 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. As a squad, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in the league.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 3.96 for the season (15th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,455 hitters. Mets pitchers have given up 165 home runs and also 697 runs in total (15th in MLB). They have walked 586 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a unit on the season. New York has surrendered 1,232 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 634 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.48 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 60.9% and has entered the game in 163 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 214 runners over the course of the season and 34.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 159 times in addition to having 173 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 516 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have tallied 97 holds so far this year (8th in MLB). They have compiled 39 saves on the campaign and have blown 25 of their 64 save opportunities.

The Mets have turned 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,981 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 9th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have earned 4,327 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,408 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them ranked 25th in the majors, and have accumulated 127 double plays.

Peterson (28-24 career mark) has a FIP of 4.03 and he has faced 1,948 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 427 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 197 walks. His ERA is 4.09 (206 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.377. Peterson has taken the hill for 453 innings and has tallied 464 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .425 and they average 4.84 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have 285 doubles, while taking a walk 515 times as well as putting up 784 runs. Philadelphia is sitting with 198 long balls on the campaign and 750 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,370 occasions (16th in baseball) and have earned 1,423 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies hold a team OBP of .325 in addition to a batting average of .257 on the campaign.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 671 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.85 (617 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 181 home runs and they give up 4.19 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.236 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (1,433 strikeouts vs 444 walks). They come in at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,339.

Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.1% out of 134 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 168 times in high leverage situations and also on 96 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 135 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 78 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They rank 10th in the league holding a save rate of 66.1%, and they have sent 517 relievers to the mound this season. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 56 save chances and they have recorded 37 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 121 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (12th in pro baseball). The Phillies have racked up 1,467 assists, 85 errors and have a total of 4,328 putouts for the season. In 12,984 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (21st in the majors).

Wheeler (103-70 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.33 earned run average while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.56 and he has gone up against 6,501 batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 585 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.156 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. So far in his career, Wheeler has conceded 1,368 base knocks while tallying 1,625 strikeouts in 1,579 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-190)

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