New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Sportsnet New York

The Milwaukee Brewers (90-68) will try to beat the New York Mets (87-70) at American Family Field on Saturday. The starting pitchers will be David Peterson and Colin Rea.

The Mets have accumulated 275 two-baggers as a team and have hit 203 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .418 and have been called out on strikes 1,336 times, while being walked on 504 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in the league. They have 719 RBI's as well as 1,322 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average is .247. They have tallied 751 runs while holding a team OBP of .321.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.48 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Mets pitchers have allowed 161 home runs in addition to 673 runs (13th in the league). New York has conceded 1,194 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 612 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 3.93 for the year (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,399 hitters. They have walked 564 hitters and their FIP is 4.07 as a squad so far this season.

The Mets have sent 500 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 204 base runners this year and 33.8% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 39 saves on the season and have blown 24 of their 63 save opportunities. The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 61.9% and has entered the game in 161 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 96 holds on the campaign (8th in MLB). Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 153 times in addition to having 172 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have accumulated 4,201 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,375 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which is 25th in baseball, and have earned 125 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of 12,603 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in professional baseball.

Peterson has taken the mound for 446 innings and has accumulated 456 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.15 (206 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.389. He has surrendered 426 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 194 walks. Peterson (27-24 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.09 and he has faced 1,924 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Brewers have a team slugging % of .404 and they tally 4.80 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have put up 241 two-baggers, while taking a walk 582 times as well as earning 758 runs. Milwaukee has hit 175 home runs this year as well as 724 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,412 instances (11th in the league) and have recorded 1,325 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .325 in addition to a batting average of .248 for the season.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have relinquished 630 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.68 (576 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 193 home runs and they concede 4.02 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.238 in addition to having a FIP of 4.20 as a squad so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,338 strikeouts vs 483 walks). They rank 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,263.

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.7% of 209 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 194 times in high leverage situations in addition to 144 occasions with runners on base. With 149 save situations, the Brewers have 79 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They are ranked 2nd in baseball holding a save percentage of 72.9%, and they have dispatched 505 relievers onto the field for the year. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 70 save opportunities and they have earned 51 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 110 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Brewers have recorded 1,309 assists, 85 errors and have accumulated 4,230 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 12,690 innings on the field, the Brewers hold a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (4th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Rea has surrendered 422 base hits while accumulating 361 punch outs in 441 innings pitched. Rea (26-19 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.53 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 222 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and he has faced 1,873 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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