New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, July 21, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The New York Mets (49-46) are headed to loanDepot park on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (33-63). The pitchers taking the mound will be Luis Severino and Trevor Rogers.

The Mets have accrued 176 doubles as a squad and have hit 121 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging % of .420 and have been called out on strikes 769 times, while drawing a walk on 306 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.9 runs/g, which puts them at 6th in the league. They have recorded 447 RBI's and 818 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate is at .250. They have accumulated 465 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

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The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.23 on the year (22nd in MLB), and they have rung up 829 hitters. Mets pitchers have allowed 104 long balls and 452 runs in total (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 362 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.28 as a squad for the year. New York has allowed 754 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 401 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.29 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31.

Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 105 times and also have had 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 64 holds for the year (4th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 61.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 105 save situations. They have 25 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 16 of their 41 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 139 runners so far this year and 35.3% of them crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 312 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Mets have transformed 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,680 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 15th in MLB. The New York Mets are sitting with 2,560 putouts this year, as well as 841 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which ranks 28th in baseball, and have a total of 84 double plays.

Severino has taken the mound for 836 innings and is sitting with 869 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 3.79 (352 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.187. He has given up 741 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 252 free passes. Severino (60-40 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.73 while he has gone up against 3,478 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .284 and a team batting average of .234 on the campaign. They have struck out on 798 instances (17th in the league) and have accounted for 760 hits. Miami has accounted for 78 HRs on the year to go along with 327 RBIs. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .354 and they average 3.50 runs per outing (29th in the league). They have notched 133 two-baggers, while getting a free base 205 times as well as putting up 336 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.365 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.20 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (784 strikeouts against 326 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 836. They have relinquished 101 homers and they surrender 5.16 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have yielded 488 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.60 (435 earned runs allowed).

Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 33 save opportunities and they have come away with 16 saves. They rank 29th in the league with a save rate of 48.5%, and they have sent 333 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relievers have come in 112 times in high leverage situations in addition to 101 occasions with runners on base. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.7% out of their 140 inherited runners. Sitting with 73 save situations, the Marlins have earned 40 holds and 17 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 67 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in professional baseball). The Marlins have recorded 880 assists, 66 errors and have earned 2,554 putouts on the campaign. In their 7,662 innings on the field, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (27th in the majors).

In his career, Rogers has surrendered 375 hits and he has 400 K's in 381 innings pitched. Rogers (14-32 career record) is the owner of a 4.27 earned run average while surrendering 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 181 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.388 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and he has faced 1,666 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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