New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/18/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-124) Miami (+106)

The Miami Marlins (13-32) will go up against the New York Mets (20-23) at loanDepot park on Saturday. The odds on this game have New York at -124 and Miami is at +106. The total has been set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Luis Severino and Braxton Garrett.

New York has a slugging percentage of .365 and have been rung up 331 times, while drawing a walk on 140 occasions. They have accumulated 171 runs batted in in addition to 343 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is sitting at .232. The Mets have recorded 65 two-baggers as a team and have hit 43 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 183 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .306. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 18th in baseball.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.79 on the season (13th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 387 hitters. Mets pitchers have relinquished 30 home runs and 191 total runs (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 196 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.82 as a team for the season. New York has conceded 319 base knocks (7.4 per 9 innings) and also 164 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.97 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 57.9% and has come into the game in 49 save situations. The relievers have inherited 58 runners so far this season and 27.6% of those players crossed the plate. Mets pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 47 times and also have had 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 147 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have notched 30 holds on the season (7th in baseball). They have recorded 11 saves so far this year and have not converted 8 of their 19 chances to save the game.

The New York Mets have a tally of 1,167 putouts thus far, in addition to 362 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which is 24th in MLB, and have earned 36 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,501 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball.

Severino (56-39 career record) holds a FIP of 3.72 while he has gone up against 3,213 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 681 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 235 free passes. His earned run average is 3.74 (321 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.186. Severino has thrown 772 innings and has accumulated 829 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

Miami has a total of 36 home runs so far this year and 159 RBIs. They have tallied 56 two-baggers, while walking 103 times and notching 163 runs. The Miami Marlins are sitting with a team OBP of .280 and a batting average of .225 on the campaign. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .341 and they average 3.62 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They have struck out on 342 occasions (22nd in the league) and have accounted for 339 base hits.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.441 in addition to having a FIP of 4.38 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 396. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 250 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.98 (221 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (380 strikeouts against 179 free passes). They have conceded 50 dingers and they relinquish 5.64 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league).

Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 39.1% of 64 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 46 times in high leverage situations and on 43 occasions with base runners. With 37 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 20 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They are ranked 30th in MLB holding a save percentage of 41.2%, and they have dispatched 152 relievers to the mound so far this season. Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 17 save chances and they have earned 7 saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 37 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in baseball). The Marlins have 421 assists, 34 errors and have earned 1,197 putouts this season. In 3,591 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.5% (28th in professional baseball).

Garrett (14-17 career mark) holds a 3.94 ERA and has given up 9.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.68 and he has faced 1,248 opposing batters during his career. He has given up a total of 129 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.273 and having a FIP of 3.8. So far in his career, Garrett has conceded 295 base hits while totaling 294 K's in 294 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+106)

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