New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-102) Cincinnati (-116)

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (4-2) will attempt to beat the New York Mets (1-5) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has New York at -102 while Cincinnati is priced at -116. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Luis Severino and Nick Martínez.

The Mets have earned 4 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 5 balls out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .269 and have struck out 49 times, while being walked on 22 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 2.2 runs per game, which puts them at 28th in baseball. They have accounted for 13 RBI's as well as 34 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .173. They have accounted for 13 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .269.

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The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 2.37 for the year (3rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 59 batters. Mets pitchers have allowed 4 long balls and 26 runs in total (13th in baseball). They have walked 22 hitters and their FIP is 3.39 as a squad so far this year. New York has relinquished 50 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 15 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 7 times in addition to having 11 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 3 holds this season (20th in MLB). The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 0.0% and has entered the game in 4 save situations. They have recorded 0 saves over the course of the season and have blown 1 of 1 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 7 runners on the season and 28.6% of those players ended up scoring. The Mets have dispatched 23 relievers to the mound for the year.

The New York Mets have a total of 171 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 44 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .977 which puts them in 24th in pro baseball, and they have turned 8 double plays. The Mets have turned 67.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 513 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 22nd in professional baseball.

Severino has thrown 732 innings and has totaled 794 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 3.80 (309 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.192. He has allowed 658 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 215 walks. Severino (54-38 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 3,049 opposing batters in the majors.

Cincinnati has knocked in 7 home runs for the season and 33 RBIs. They have put up 17 two-baggers, while getting a free base 14 times and putting up 34 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have an OBP of .316 and a team batting average of .265 this year. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .474 and they score 5.67 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 67 instances (8th in MLB) and have earned 56 base knocks.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.278 with a FIP of 4.66 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.30 (56 strikeouts vs 21 free passes). They rank 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 48. They have surrendered 9 home runs and they concede 4.50 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 27 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.00 (24 earned runs relinquished).

With 7 save situations, the Reds have tallied 4 holds and also 2 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 3 save opportunities and they have walked away with 1 save. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 11 times in high leverage situations and on 7 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 14.3% out of their 14 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 16th in the league holding a save rate of 33.3%, and they have dispatched 23 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 1 double play and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (20th in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 43 assists, 4 errors and have 162 putouts so far this season. Out of their 486 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (13th in professional baseball).

Martinez (27-38 career mark) has a 4.32 earned run average and has conceded 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.92 and he has gone up against 2,757 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 306 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.389 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.0. In his MLB career, Martinez has allowed 655 base hits and he has 441 strikeouts in 637 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-102)

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