New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Truist Park is the site where the Atlanta Braves (7-3) will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (4-7) on Thursday. The pitchers taking the mound are Luis Severino and Max Fried.

As a unit, the New York Mets are putting up 3.5 runs per game, which ranks them 26th in the league. They have a total of 38 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .308. The Mets have accumulated 10 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 11 balls out of the stadium. They have 37 runs batted in in addition to 81 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .218. New York has a slugging percentage of .333 and have struck out 87 times, while taking a walk on 41 occasions.

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The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 3.13 on the campaign (6th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 103 batters. Mets pitchers have given up 7 long balls in addition to 45 runs in total (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 45 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.65 as a squad for the year. New York has allowed 80 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 32 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.29 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36.

Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 12 times as well as having 22 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 10 holds on the campaign (4th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 60.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 15 save situations. They have accumulated 3 saves so far this season and have blown 2 out of their 5 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 15 runners on the campaign with 20.0% of them ended up scoring. The Mets have sent 40 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Mets have converted 66.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 900 innings, which has them ranked 27th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have accounted for 300 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 85 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .975 which has them ranked 27th in pro baseball, and have earned 12 double plays.

Severino has taken the mound for 737 frames and has racked up 801 K's so far in his career. Severino (54-38 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.71 while facing 3,070 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.78 (310 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.191. He has allowed 661 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 217 walks.

The Braves have a slugging percentage of .512 and they average 6.90 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have tallied 31 doubles, while taking a walk 33 times as well as scoring 69 runs. Atlanta has 14 home runs on the season as well as 67 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 87 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have 111 hits. The Atlanta Braves have recorded an OBP of .368 as well as a team batting average of .306 for the year.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.291 with a FIP of 4.16 as a team so far this season. They sit at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 69. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 38 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.22 (37 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (76 strikeouts vs 33 free passes). They have yielded 9 long balls and they relinquish 4.33 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 5 save opportunities and they have come away with 3 saves. They are ranked 12th in baseball holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 35 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 9 times in high leverage situations in addition to 9 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of their 11 inherited runners. Sitting with 10 save situations, the Braves have 5 holds in addition to 2 blown saves.

In their 792 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (13th in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 11 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .994 (1st in professional baseball). The Braves have 90 assists, 2 errors and have 264 putouts this season.

During his pro baseball career, Fried has given up 649 hits and he has 703 punch outs in 715 frames. Fried (62-26 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.13 ERA while surrendering 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 249 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has faced 2,932 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York

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