New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 8/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Wednesday, August 28, 2024

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (EVEN) Arizona (-120)

The New York Mets (68-63) are hitting the road to Chase Field on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-56). The moneyline on this game has the Mets at EVEN while the Diamondbacks are priced at -120. The over/under has been set at O8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Luis Severino and Eduardo Rodriguez.

New York has a slugging rate of .419 and have been called out on strikes 1,114 times, while drawing a walk on 422 occasions. They have tallied 598 runs batted in in addition to 1,114 hits this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .248. The Mets have tallied 240 two-baggers as a team and have hit 167 balls out of the park. They have racked up 623 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. As a unit, the New York Mets are compiling 4.8 runs/g, which puts them at 10th in MLB.

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The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.13 on the campaign (18th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,149 hitters. Mets pitchers have yielded 143 long balls and also 593 runs in total (19th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 497 batters and their FIP sits at 4.27 as a team this season. New York has conceded 1,022 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 536 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.31 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Mets have dispatched 416 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 171 runners on the year with 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 31 saves over the course of the season and have blown 21 out of their 52 save chances. The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 59.6% and has come into the game in 129 save situations. The bullpen have notched 77 holds over the course of the season (10th in MLB). Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 125 times and also have had 143 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have 3,506 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,158 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which ranks 25th in MLB, and have 107 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,518 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in pro baseball.

Severino has taken the hill for 874 innings and has earned 910 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.80 (369 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.195. He has allowed 779 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 266 free passes. Severino (63-43 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.74 and he has gone up against 3,643 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Diamondbacks hold a slugging % of .433 and they are recording 5.35 runs per outing (1st in the league). They have recorded 222 two-baggers, while walking 454 times and scoring 701 runs. Arizona has 160 long balls for the year to go along with 668 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,007 occasions (24th in baseball) and have totaled 1,165 base hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned a team OBP of .335 as well as a batting average of .261 on the season.

The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.334 and have a FIP of 4.06 as a squad this year. They are sitting at 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,170. The Arizona pitching staff have allowed 609 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.43 (575 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.70 (1,005 strikeouts against 389 free passes). They have conceded 134 HR's and they allow 4.69 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball).

Arizona has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have walked away with 33 saves. They sit at 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 58.9%, and they have dispatched 433 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 144 times in high leverage situations and also on 119 occasions with runners on. Arizona relievers have an inherited score rate of 40.0% out of their 165 inherited runners. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Diamondbacks have tallied 79 holds and 23 blown saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 122 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB). The Diamondbacks have 1,208 assists, 48 errors and have notched a total of 3,507 putouts for the season. Out of their 10,521 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (24th in professional baseball).

During his career, Rodriguez has conceded 1,062 hits and he has 1,118 punch outs in 1,116 innings pitched. He has given up 500 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.292 and a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.94 and he has gone up against 4,729 batters in his pro baseball career. Rodriguez (84-53 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.03 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (-120)

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