Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-104) Toronto (-118)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (17-20) will attempt to defeat the Minnesota Twins (22-15) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Twins at -104 and the Blue Jays are sitting at -118. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Simeon Woods Richardson and Kevin Gausman.

Minnesota is slugging .412 and have been called out on strikes 332 times, while drawing a walk on 117 occasions. They have 167 runs batted in and 299 hits for the year, and their batting average sits at .241. The Twins have accounted for 79 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 40 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 179 runs and hold an OBP of .317. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 10th in MLB.

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The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 3.94 on the year (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 377 hitters. Twins pitchers have conceded 43 long balls and 155 runs (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 96 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.59 as a unit this year. Minnesota has given up 299 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 144 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.93 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20.

Twins pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 32 times and also have had 43 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 31 holds this year (1st in MLB). The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 68.4% and stepped onto the hill in 50 save situations. They have 13 saves for the season and have not converted 6 of 19 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 48 base runners for the year with 41.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Twins have dispatched 118 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Minnesota Twins have amassed 988 putouts so far this season, in addition to 259 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which puts them in 5th in baseball, and have accumulated 17 double plays. The Twins have turned 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,964 innings on the field, which has them sitting 23rd in MLB.

Woods Richardson has pitched in 319 innings and is sitting with 349 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.34 (154 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.373. He has given up 314 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 125 free passes. Woods Richardson (13-28 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.59 while he has gone up against 1,395 batters in the major leagues.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .360 and they score 3.62 runs per game (27th in the league). They have 61 doubles, while walking 128 times as well as putting up 134 runs. Toronto is sitting with 30 home runs this year as well as 124 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 273 occasions (27th in MLB) and are sitting with 273 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .308 in addition to a batting average of .228 this season.

The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 178 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.64 (164 earned runs yielded). They have given up 48 long balls and they relinquish 5.04 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.384 with a FIP of 4.59 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (292 strikeouts against 123 free passes). They are currently ranked 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 317.

Sitting with 35 save situations, the Blue Jays have 22 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have earned 10 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 20 times in high leverage situations and on 45 occasions with runners on base. Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of 66 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 2nd in baseball with a save percentage of 76.9%, and they have sent 123 relievers onto the diamond on the year.

In 2,862 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (24th in pro baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 29 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (17th in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 313 assists, 21 errors and are sitting with 954 putouts for the year.

In his career, Gausman has allowed 533 base knocks and he has 378 punch outs in 516 innings pitched. Gausman (25-35 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.30 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 247 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.264 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and he has faced 2,185 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-104)

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