Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Thursday, September 5, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Tampa Bay Rays (68-70) host the Minnesota Twins (75-63) at Tropicana Field on Thursday. The starting pitchers are Pablo Lopez and Taj Bradley.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are recording 4.8 runs per contest, which is 7th in the league. They have earned a total of 658 runs while holding a team OBP of .321. The Twins have hit 268 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 166 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 623 runs batted in and 1,174 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average is at .251. Minnesota has a slugging % of .424 and have struck out 1,108 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions.

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The Twins hold a team earned run average of 4.15 so far this year (18th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,252 batters. Twins pitchers have yielded 160 home runs and also 607 total runs (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 355 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.85 as a team on the season. Minnesota has conceded 1,097 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 564 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.53 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19.

The Twins have sent 446 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 153 base runners so far this year with 43.8% of those runners crossed the plate. They have tallied 39 saves so far this year and have missed out on 16 of their 55 chances to save the game. The Twins relievers have a save rate of 70.9% and has entered the game in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 81 holds on the year (9th in MLB). Twins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 104 times as well as having 168 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have turned 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of 11,013 innings, which has them ranked 9th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 3,671 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,040 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which is 6th in professional baseball, and have earned 62 double plays.

Lopez (52-47 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.84 while he has gone up against 3,548 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 781 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 223 free passes. His earned run average is 3.90 (372 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.169. Lopez has taken the ball for 859 innings and has accumulated 887 K's during his career.

The Rays have a team SLG% of .368 and they tally 3.86 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have notched 219 doubles, while walking 440 times as well as putting up 533 runs. Tampa Bay has accumulated 127 home runs this year as well as 497 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,272 instances (5th in the league) and have recorded 1,060 base knocks. The Tampa Bay Rays have recorded an OBP of .306 and a team batting average of .230 this year.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.232 and have a FIP of 4.22 as a squad this season. They come in at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,129. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 598 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.95 (542 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,182 strikeouts against 391 walks). They have given up 177 long balls and they surrender 4.36 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 63 save opportunities and they have come away with 43 saves. They are ranked 6th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.3%, and they have dispatched 466 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 176 times in high leverage situations in addition to 109 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 23.9% out of 159 inherited base runners. With 153 save situations, the Rays have recorded 88 holds in addition to 20 blown saves.

In their 11,106 innings on the field, the Rays have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (8th in professional baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 96 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Rays have accrued 1,087 assists, 75 errors and have accounted for 3,702 putouts this season.

Bradley (11-17 career mark) is the owner of a 4.96 earned run average while surrendering 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and he has gone up against 919 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 118 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.303 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.9. Thus far in his career, Bradley has surrendered 202 hits while accumulating 250 strikeouts in 214 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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