Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/31/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (56-50) will attempt to beat the Minnesota Twins (58-47) on Wednesday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Pablo Lopez and Luis Severino.

As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, which ranks them 8th in the league. They have tallied 507 runs and have an on-base percentage of .324. The Twins have compiled 211 doubles as a squad and have hit 126 balls out of the park. They have earned 481 runs batted in and 906 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is .253. Minnesota is slugging .427 and have been rung up 842 times, while drawing a walk on 316 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.53 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.18. Twins pitchers have allowed 122 home runs in addition to 469 total runs (17th in baseball). Minnesota has conceded 833 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 435 earned runs. The Twins have compiled a team earned run average of 4.20 this season (21st in the league), and they have rung up 953 batters. They have walked 270 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.83 as a squad on the season.

The Twins relievers have a save percentage of 68.2% and has come into the game in 106 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 126 runners so far this season and 46.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Twins pitchers have come into the game with players on base 85 times in addition to having 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 338 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have tallied 61 holds this season (10th in MLB). They have earned 30 saves on the season and have blown 14 out of their 44 chances to get a save.

The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 2,794 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 793 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which ranks 10th in MLB, and they have turned 49 double plays. The Twins have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,382 innings, which has them sitting 11th in the majors.

Lopez has thrown 822 innings and has earned 858 punch outs during his career. Lopez (48-46 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.93 while going up against 3,398 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.99 (364 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.173. He has conceded 749 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 215 walks.

The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .323 as well as a batting average of .250 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 872 occasions (20th in MLB) and have a total of 913 base hits. New York has tallied 138 long balls on the campaign to go along with 502 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .423 and they earn 4.92 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have put up 196 two-baggers, while getting a free base 347 times as well as scoring 521 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.303 in addition to having a FIP of 4.36 as a team on the season. They come in at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 834. The New York pitching staff have allowed 492 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.17 (441 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (938 strikeouts against 405 free passes). They have given up 123 home runs and they surrender 4.66 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball).

New York has had relievers enter the game in 45 save chances and they have come away with 29 saves. They are currently ranked 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.4%, and they have sent 346 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 127 times in high leverage situations and on 111 occasions with base runners. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.1% out of their 148 inherited base runners. Sitting with 117 save situations, the Mets have 72 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 89 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .982 (28th in the majors). The Mets have recorded 931 assists, 70 errors and have earned a total of 2,854 putouts this year. In their 8,562 innings played, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in pro baseball).

During his career, Severino has given up 750 base knocks while he has accumulated 882 punch outs in 847 innings. He has conceded 354 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.188 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.43 and he has faced 3,526 batters so far in his career. Severino (61-40 career record) has earned a 3.76 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York

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