Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/18/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+106) Cleveland (-126)

The Minnesota Twins (79-71) are en route to Progressive Field on Wednesday where they will take on the Cleveland Guardians (87-64). The line on this contest has the Twins at +106 and the Guardians are coming in at -126. The over/under comes in at O8.0. The expected starting pitchers are Bailey Ober and Tanner Bibee.

The Twins have accrued 291 doubles as a squad and have smacked 177 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .421 and have struck out 1,214 times, while being walked on 434 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, which is 11th in MLB. They have accounted for 667 runs batted in and 1,262 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .249. They have earned a total of 703 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.48 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers have allowed 173 home runs and 670 total runs (18th in baseball). Minnesota has conceded 1,206 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 623 earned runs. The Twins have a team ERA of 4.23 over the course of the season (21st in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,354 batters. They have walked 389 opposing players and their FIP is 3.85 as a unit this year.

The Twins have sent 478 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 172 base runners for the season and 43.0% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 41 saves for the year and have blown 18 out of their 59 save chances. The Twins relievers have recorded a save percentage of 69.5% and has entered the game in 146 save situations. The bullpen have 86 holds for the season (9th in MLB). Twins pitchers have entered the game with runners on 113 times as well as having 178 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,940 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 3,980 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,145 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which is 6th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 71 double plays.

Ober has pitched in 453 innings and has racked up 461 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Ober (25-19 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.68 and he has gone up against 1,822 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.73 (188 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.067. He has conceded 384 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 100 walks.

The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for an on-base percentage of .309 in addition to a batting average of .238 for the year. They have struck out on 1,111 occasions (27th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,187 base hits. Cleveland has compiled 171 home runs for the year and 634 RBIs. The Guardians hold a slugging percentage of .395 and they average 4.45 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have 232 two-baggers, while getting a free base 442 times as well as putting up 672 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.204 and have a FIP of 4.03 as a pitching staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,321 strikeouts against 458 walks). They rank 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,153. They have surrendered 174 home runs and they relinquish 3.97 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 590 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.70 (550 earned runs given up).

Cleveland relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.7% out of their 225 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 191 times in high leverage situations and also on 159 occasions with runners on. With 186 save situations, the Guardians have earned 118 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in baseball holding a save rate of 77.3%, and they have sent 554 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Cleveland has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have tallied 51 saves.

In their 12,042 innings on the field, the Guardians are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (3rd in baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 117 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). The Guardians have recorded 1,285 assists, 77 errors and have a tally of 4,014 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Bibee has allowed 263 base knocks while totaling 316 punch outs in 302 frames. He has allowed 111 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.156 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.67 and he has faced 1,242 opposing batters during his career. Bibee (21-12 career win-loss record) holds a 3.31 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-126)

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