Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/15/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, April 15, 2024

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+124) Baltimore (-148)

The Baltimore Orioles (9-6) host the Minnesota Twins (6-8) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Twins at +124 and the Orioles are at -148. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Louie Varland and Cole Irvin.

As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are recording 3.5 runs per game, which ranks them 26th in MLB. They have accounted for 46 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .280. The Twins have accrued 17 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 13 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 41 runs batted in in addition to 80 hits on the year, while their average at the plate sits at .186. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .329 and have struck out 139 times, while being walked on 45 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.50 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21. Twins pitchers have allowed 17 home runs and 52 runs in total (4th in baseball). Minnesota has conceded 102 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 46 earned runs. The Twins hold a team earned run average of 3.54 for the season (6th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 140 batters. They have walked 40 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.90 as a unit this season.

The Twins have sent 43 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 13 base runners for the year and 38.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 3 saves for the season and have blown 1 out of their 4 chances to get a save. The Twins relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 75.0% and has entered the game in 11 save situations. The bullpen have notched 7 holds for the season (22nd in the league). Twins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 11 times in addition to having 13 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 351 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 91 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which is 7th in professional baseball, and have earned 6 double plays. The Twins have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,053 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 14th in baseball.

Varland has taken the hill for 103 innings and has accumulated 102 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.81 (55 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.291. He has allowed 105 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 28 walks. Varland (5-7 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 5.04 while he has gone up against 434 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Orioles have a SLG% of .415 and they earn 5.43 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have recorded 26 two-baggers, while getting a free base 39 times and racking up 76 runs. Baltimore has 18 home runs on the year to go along with 75 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 115 instances (20th in baseball) and are sitting with 116 base knocks. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for an on-base percentage of .296 as well as a team batting average of .238 for the season.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.141 in addition to having a FIP of 3.78 as a pitching staff so far this season. They come in at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 114. The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 64 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.87 (55 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.10 (129 strikeouts against 32 free passes). They have given up 17 homers and they yield 4.50 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 23.1% of 13 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 12 times in high leverage situations in addition to 12 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 10 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 4 holds and also 4 blown saves. They rank 25th in the league holding a save rate of 33.3%, and they have dispatched 47 relievers onto the field for the season. Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 6 save opportunities and they have walked away with 2 saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 6 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (21st in the majors). The Orioles have accrued 127 assists, 10 errors and are sitting with 384 putouts this year. In 1,152 innings played, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (8th in baseball).

Irvin (22-35 career mark) holds a 4.48 ERA while giving up 9.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.08 and he has faced 2,095 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 245 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.4. So far in his MLB career, Irvin has given up 517 base hits while he has tallied 363 punch outs in 492 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (-148)

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