Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 9/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Thursday, September 12, 2024

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+117) San Francisco (-140)

The Milwaukee Brewers (83-61) are headed to Oracle Park on Thursday where they will go up against the San Francisco Giants (71-74). The odds on this game have Milwaukee at +117 while San Francisco is priced at -140. The over/under is set at O7.0. The men taking the mound are Frankie Montas and Hayden Birdsong.

The Brewers have accrued 221 doubles as a team and have hit 161 balls out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .406 and have been called out on strikes 1,273 times, while being walked on 537 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are recording 4.8 runs per outing, which is 6th in baseball. They have tallied 661 RBI's as well as 1,218 hits on the year, while their batting average comes in at .250. They have accumulated 694 runs and hold an OBP of .328.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Brewers pitchers have allowed 176 home runs and 559 total runs (3rd in baseball). Milwaukee has conceded 1,135 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 511 earned runs. The Brewers have compiled a team ERA of 3.58 on the year (3rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,195 batters. They have walked 435 opposing players and their FIP is 4.25 as a unit on the season.

The Brewers relief pitchers have a save percentage of 72.3% and has come into the game in 135 save situations. The relievers have inherited 183 runners on the season with 29.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Brewers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 129 times in addition to having 178 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 455 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen have a total of 70 holds on the campaign (19th in MLB). They have tallied 47 saves so far this season and have missed out on 18 of their 65 chances to get a save.

The Brewers have converted 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,574 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 2nd in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 3,858 putouts on the year, as well as 1,205 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which ranks 17th in professional baseball, and have earned 102 double plays.

Montas has taken the ball for 725 innings and has 732 K's so far in his MLB career. Montas (43-45 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.98 and he has faced 3,100 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.05 (326 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.308. He has surrendered 695 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 254 walks.

The Giants hold a slugging % of .393 and they have an average of 4.26 runs per game (18th in the league). They have recorded 238 two-baggers, while taking a walk 453 times and putting up 617 runs. San Francisco has knocked in 154 HRs on the year to go along with 589 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,285 instances (10th in the league) and have recorded 1,165 base hits. The San Francisco Giants hold an on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a team batting average of .239 over the course of the season.

The Giants have a WHIP of 1.301 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.89 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (1,280 strikeouts against 466 free passes). They rank 21st in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,201. They have allowed 145 home runs and they relinquish 4.50 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The San Francisco pitching staff have yielded 640 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.19 (597 earned runs relinquished).

San Francisco relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.2% out of their 177 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 137 times in high leverage situations in addition to 120 occasions with runners on. With 139 save situations, the Giants have earned 88 holds and also 18 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in the league holding a save percentage of 63.3%, and they have sent 501 relievers onto the diamond for the season. San Francisco has had relievers enter the contest in 49 save opportunities and they have come away with 31 saves.

The San Francisco Giants have gotten 129 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in baseball). The Giants have racked up 1,411 assists, 83 errors and have a total of 3,843 putouts for the year. In 11,529 innings played, the Giants are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (26th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Birdsong has conceded 43 hits while accumulating 64 strikeouts in 52 innings. He has conceded a total of 30 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.500 and a FIP of 5.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.83 and he has gone up against 233 batters in his career. Birdsong (3-5 career record) has earned a 5.19 earned run average while conceding 7.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Francisco (-140)

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