Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/25/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-108) Pittsburgh (-108)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (13-11) will play the Milwaukee Brewers (14-8) at PNC Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Brewers at -108 while the Pirates are at -108. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Freddy Peralta and Mitch Keller.

The Brewers have hit 33 doubles as a squad and have smacked 29 baseballs out of the stadium. Milwaukee owns a slugging percentage of .425 and have been called out on strikes 201 times, while being walked on 81 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 5.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 6th in MLB. They have accrued 109 RBI's and 202 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is .263. They have tallied 117 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .338.

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The Brewers have a team ERA of 3.37 so far this year (8th in the league), and they have rung up 176 hitters. Brewers pitchers have given up 22 long balls and 85 runs (5th in the league). They have walked 69 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.02 as a team so far this year. Milwaukee has conceded 173 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 73 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24.

The Brewers relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 25 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 36 runners so far this year with 30.6% of those players crossed home plate. Brewers pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 23 times and also have had 25 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 72 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have earned 13 holds for the year (17th in the league). They have 8 saves on the year and have blown 4 out of their 12 chances to get a save.

The Brewers have transformed 71.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,755 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 6th in professional baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 585 putouts this season, as well as 189 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which ranks 15th in pro baseball, and have a total of 13 double plays.

Peralta has taken the mound for 604 innings and has earned 782 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.75 (252 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.110. He has given up 441 hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 230 free passes. Peralta (44-27 career record) holds a FIP of 3.47 and he has faced 2,495 opposing batters in the majors.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated an on-base percentage of .323 as well as a team batting average of .241 this season. They have struck out on 228 occasions (6th in the league) and have accounted for 200 base hits. Pittsburgh has tallied 19 home runs on the campaign to go along with 96 RBIs. The Pirates hold a team SLG% of .354 and they average 4.25 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have put up 33 two-baggers, while taking a walk 100 times and earning 102 runs.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.199 and have a FIP of 3.80 as a unit on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (209 strikeouts vs 76 bases on balls). They come in at 14th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 183. They have surrendered 23 dingers and they relinquish 4.25 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 102 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.87 (93 earned runs conceded).

Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 15 save opportunities and they have converted 8 saves. They are currently ranked 24th in MLB with a save rate of 53.3%, and they have dispatched 80 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 35 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.9% of 45 inherited base runners. Sitting with 31 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 16 holds in addition to 7 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 21 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (25th in MLB). The Pirates have 211 assists, 17 errors and are sitting with 649 putouts this season. Out of their 1,947 innings on the field, the Pirates hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (8th in the majors).

Keller (27-40 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.71 earned run average while surrendering 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and he has gone up against 2,428 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 290 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.450 and having a FIP of 4.0. Thus far in his career, Keller has given up 594 base hits while he has earned 546 strikeouts in 553 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-108)

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