Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, June 5, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+142) Philadelphia (-168)

The Milwaukee Brewers (36-24) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (42-19). The line on this matchup has Milwaukee at +142 while Philadelphia is coming in at -168. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Freddy Peralta and Aaron Nola.

The Brewers have compiled 102 doubles as a unit and have hit 68 balls out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .415 and have struck out 536 times, while drawing a walk on 218 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are earning 5.1 runs/g, which has them at 2nd in baseball. They have accounted for 292 runs batted in as well as 529 base knocks this season, while their batting average sits at .257. They are sitting with 305 runs while holding a team OBP of .334.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.27. Brewers pitchers have allowed 69 long balls and also 244 runs (10th in the league). Milwaukee has conceded 491 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 226 earned runs. The Brewers have an ERA of 3.82 for the season (11th in baseball), and they have struck out 485 batters. They have walked 183 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.18 as a squad on the year.

The Brewers bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 74.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 58 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 87 runners on the season and 28.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Brewers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 59 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 196 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have notched 31 holds on the season (15th in baseball). They have earned 20 saves so far this season and have not converted 7 out of their 27 save chances.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a tally of 1,597 putouts on the campaign, as well as 514 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which ranks 8th in pro baseball, and have a total of 40 double plays. The Brewers have turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs in their 4,791 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in professional baseball.

Peralta has taken the mound for 648 frames and has earned 838 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.82 (275 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.117. He has given up 477 base knocks (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 247 walks. Peralta (46-30 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.51 while he has faced 2,677 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .329 as well as a batting average of .255 this year. They have struck out on 504 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned a total of 528 base hits. Philadelphia has hit 69 home runs on the season as well as 301 RBIs. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .411 and they are recording 5.18 runs per game (1st in the league). They have recorded 89 doubles, while walking 222 times as well as racking up 316 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.134 and have a FIP of 3.27 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.20 (567 strikeouts vs 174 walks). They are currently ranked 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 452. They have allowed 49 HR's and they surrender 3.51 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 215 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.00 (184 earned runs surrendered).

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 39.6% out of 48 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 76 times in high leverage situations and on 39 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 61 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 34 holds and 8 blown saves. They sit at 11th in MLB with a save rate of 69.2%, and they have sent 186 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 26 save opportunities and they have walked away with 18 saves.

In their 4,968 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (7th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 42 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 553 assists, 37 errors and have notched a total of 1,656 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Nola has allowed 1,292 base knocks while tallying 1,653 strikeouts in 1,499 frames. He has conceded 614 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.124 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 4.21 and he has gone up against 6,121 opposing batters so far in his career. Nola (97-73 record in his career) holds a 3.69 ERA and has surrendered 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+142)

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