Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 3/31/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

The New York Mets (74-87 last season) will try to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (92-70 last year) at Citi Field on Sunday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Colin Rea and Tylor Megill.

The Brewers hit 257 two-baggers as a team and hit 165 balls out of the park. Milwaukee owned a slugging percentage of .385 and struck out 1,412 times, while being walked on 591 occasions. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers scored 4.5 runs per game, which had them at 17th in baseball. They had 696 runs batted in as well as 1,291 hits for the prior year, while their average at the plate sat at .240. They racked up 728 runs and held an on-base percentage of .319.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Brewers had a team ERA of 3.71 last season (1st in the league), and the staff struck out 1,425 batters. Brewers pitchers gave up 198 long balls and 647 total runs (1st in baseball). They walked 493 opposing hitters and their FIP finished at 4.21 as a squad in the prior season. Milwaukee surrendered 1,218 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 595 earned runs. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and the pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

Brewers relief pitchers entered the contest with players on base 118 times in addition to having 173 outings in high leverage situations. The bullpen racked up 103 holds last season (4th in baseball). The Brewers relief pitchers recorded a save rate of 64.8% and came into the game in 175 save situations. They recorded 46 saves over the course of last year and did not convert 25 of their 71 chances to save the game. The bullpen inherited 162 base runners over the course of last season with 31.5% of those players crossed the plate. The Brewers sent 518 relievers to the hill over the course of the prior season.

The Milwaukee Brewers had a total of 4,329 putouts over the course of the prior season, in addition to 1,407 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .987 which was 11th in baseball, and they turned 117 double plays. The Brewers converted 71.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,987 innings on the field, which ranked them 1st in professional baseball.

Rea has taken the mound for 279 innings and has accounted for 231 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.74 (147 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.283. He has surrendered 263 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 95 walks. Rea (14-14 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.66 while facing 1,190 batters during his time in the majors.

The Mets held a slugging % of .407 and they were scoring 4.43 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They hit 220 two-baggers, while taking a walk 525 times as well as putting up 717 runs. New York was sitting with 215 home runs over the course of last year and 692 RBIs. They were called out on strikes on 1,331 instances (21st in MLB) and notched a total of 1,275 hits. The New York Mets had an OBP of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .238 for the prior year.

The Mets finished with a team WHIP of 1.362 in addition to having a FIP of 4.47 as a squad over the course of the prior season. They ranked 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,335. The New York pitching staff allowed 731 runs for the previous season while having an ERA of 4.31 (678 earned runs conceded). They had a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,398 strikeouts against 595 free passes). They surrendered 190 homers and they yielded 4.64 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball).

New York had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 53 save opportunities and they tallied 34 saves. They ranked 13th in MLB with a save rate of 64.2%, and they sent 526 bullpen pitchers to the mound last year. Their relievers came in 154 times in high leverage situations and on 157 occasions with runners on. New York relievers had an inherited score percentage of 32.8% out of their 235 inherited base runners. With 140 save situations, the Mets earned 82 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

The New York Mets turned 142 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Mets accrued 1,394 assists, 88 errors and are sitting with 4,251 putouts during the previous year. In 12,753 innings on the diamond, the Mets finished with a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (17th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Megill has given up 275 hits while he has totaled 255 punch outs in 263 innings. Megill (17-16 career record) holds a 4.72 ERA while allowing 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 138 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.416 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and he has gone up against 1,146 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here