Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 3/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-108) New York (-118)

The New York Mets (74-87 last season) will try to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (92-70 last year) at Citi Field on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Brewers at -108 while the Mets open at -118. The betting total is set at 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Freddy Peralta and Jose Quintana.

Milwaukee had a slugging rate of .385 and were rung up 1,412 times, while being walked on 591 occasions. They accounted for 696 RBI's in addition to 1,291 base knocks over the course of last season, and their batting average came in at .240. The Brewers hit 257 doubles as a squad and hit 165 balls out of the park. They had 728 runs and held an on-base percentage of .319. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers notched 4.5 runs per outing, which ranked them 17th in baseball.

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They had a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.19. Brewers pitchers surrendered 198 home runs in addition to 647 runs (1st in the league). Milwaukee conceded 1,218 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 595 earned runs. The Brewers had a team ERA of 3.71 over the course of last season (1st in baseball), and their staff struck out 1,425 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 493 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.21 as a team for the previous season.

Brewers relief pitchers went to the mound with players on base 118 times in addition to having 173 games in high leverage situations. The bullpen had a total of 103 holds during the previous year (4th in the league). The Brewers bullpen had a save percentage of 64.8% and entered the game in 175 save situations. They accumulated 46 saves over the course of last year and missed out on 25 out of their 71 save opportunities. The relievers inherited 162 runners over the course of the prior season with 31.5% of them crossed the plate. The Brewers sent 518 relievers to the hill last season.

The Milwaukee Brewers amassed 4,329 putouts in the prior season, as well as 1,407 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .987 which had them sitting 11th in professional baseball, and they turned 117 double plays. The Brewers converted 71.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,987 innings on the diamond, which had them ranked 1st in baseball.

Peralta has taken the hill for 580 innings and has 749 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.83 (247 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.125. He has given up 427 base knocks (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 226 free passes. Peralta (42-27 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.52 while facing 2,405 hitters in the major leagues.

The Mets had a team slugging % of .407 and they were scoring 4.43 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They recorded 220 two-baggers, while taking a walk 525 times and recording 717 runs. New York accounted for 215 HRs over the course of last season to go along with 692 runs batted in. They struck out on 1,331 occasions (21st in baseball) and accounted for 1,275 base hits. The New York Mets accumulated an on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a batting average of .238 over the course of last season.

The Mets held a team WHIP of 1.362 in addition to having a FIP of 4.47 as a staff during the previous year. They were sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,335. The New York pitching staff allowed 731 runs for the prior year while holding a team ERA of 4.31 (678 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio came in at 8.90 (1,398 strikeouts vs 595 bases on balls). They surrendered 190 long balls and they gave up 4.64 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Finishing with 140 save situations, the Mets accrued 82 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. New York called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 53 save opportunities and they came away with 34 saves. Their relievers stepped onto the mound 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 157 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 32.8% of 235 inherited base runners. They were ranked 13th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.2%, and they dispatched 526 bullpen pitchers to the mound last year.

The New York Mets had 142 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Mets accrued 1,394 assists, 88 errors and had 4,251 putouts last year. In their 12,753 innings played, the Mets had a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (17th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Quintana has allowed 1,773 hits while accumulating 1,592 K's in 1,799 innings pitched. Quintana (92-93 career mark) is the owner of a 3.74 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 748 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and he has gone up against 7,539 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-108)

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