Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/22/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, May 22, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-135) Miami (+116)

The Miami Marlins (16-33) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (27-20) at loanDepot park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Brewers at -135 while the Marlins are opening at +116. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Freddy Peralta and Jesus Luzardo.

The Brewers have hit 74 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 58 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .425 and have struck out 415 times, while drawing a walk on 166 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are compiling 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in baseball. They have amassed 224 RBI's and 408 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .258. They have accounted for 235 runs scored and hold an OBP of .335.

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The Brewers hold a team ERA of 4.07 on the season (17th in the league), and their staff has rung up 371 batters. Brewers pitchers have conceded 57 home runs and also 197 runs (12th in baseball). They have walked 154 opposing players and their FIP is 4.43 as a squad this year. Milwaukee has yielded 384 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 184 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.41 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32.

Brewers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 44 times and also have had 53 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 27 holds this season (13th in the league). The Brewers bullpen have earned a save rate of 72.7% and has come into the game in 49 save situations. They have accumulated 16 saves over the course of the season and have blown 6 of their 22 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 65 base runners for the season and 27.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers have dispatched 156 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Brewers have turned 70.3% of balls in play into outs in their 3,747 innings on the field, which ranks them 12th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have earned 1,249 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 412 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 10th in pro baseball, and have 32 double plays.

Peralta (45-29 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.52 and he has gone up against 2,610 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 466 hits (6.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 243 walks. His earned run average is 3.86 (270 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.125. Peralta has taken the ball for 630 innings and has 813 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Miami Marlins are sitting with an on-base percentage of .286 and a batting average of .231 on the year. They have struck out on 367 instances (21st in baseball) and have accounted for 373 base hits. Miami has accumulated 41 home runs on the campaign and 179 RBIs. The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .352 and they average 3.83 runs per game (24th in baseball). They have put up 62 doubles, while getting a free base 112 times as well as putting up 184 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 266 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.00 (237 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 51 homers and they concede 5.61 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.438 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.50 (404 strikeouts vs 185 free passes). They come in at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 429.

Miami has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 17 save opportunities and they have tallied 7 saves. They sit at 30th in MLB with a save percentage of 41.2%, and they have dispatched 167 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 50 times in high leverage situations and also on 50 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.4% out of their 73 inherited base runners. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Marlins have 20 holds and 10 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 39 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .980 (28th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 464 assists, 36 errors and have notched a total of 1,311 putouts on the campaign. In 3,933 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (27th in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Luzardo has allowed 433 base knocks and he has 543 K's in 483 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 228 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.253 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.16 and he has gone up against 2,028 batters so far in his career. Luzardo (24-31 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.25 earned run average and has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+116)

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