Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/20/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
Date: Monday, May 20, 2024
Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-136) Miami (+116)
The Miami Marlins (15-33) are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers (27-19) at loanDepot park on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Brewers at -136 and the Marlins are sitting at +116. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Joe Ross and Ryan Weathers.
As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 3rd in MLB. They have tallied 231 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .335. The Brewers have accounted for 73 doubles as a unit and have knocked 58 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 220 RBI's and 398 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is .257. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .427 and have been called out on strikes 407 times, while being walked on 164 occasions.
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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.44 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 54 home runs and 188 runs (12th in the league). Milwaukee has surrendered 370 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 175 earned runs. The Brewers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.95 this season (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 361 batters. They have walked 148 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.35 as a team for the year.
The Brewers have sent 147 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 61 runners this season and 27.9% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 16 saves on the season and have blown 5 out of their 21 chances to get a save. The Brewers relievers have recorded a save rate of 76.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 45 save situations. The relievers have a total of 24 holds so far this year (16th in the league). Brewers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 40 times and also have had 49 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Brewers have turned 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 3,591 innings on the diamond, ranking them 8th in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have 1,197 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 387 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which is 10th in professional baseball, and have 28 double plays.
Ross has thrown 484 frames and has racked up 438 K's during his career. Ross (28-32 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.16 and he has faced 2,088 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.29 (231 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.334. He has conceded 490 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 156 walks.
The Miami Marlins hold a team on-base percentage of .286 as well as a batting average of .230 this season. They have been rung up on 356 occasions (22nd in the league) and have accounted for 365 base hits. Miami has tallied 39 home runs for the year and 176 runs batted in. The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .350 and they average 3.85 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have put up 61 doubles, while taking a walk 110 times and recording 181 runs.
The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.433 with a FIP of 4.32 as a staff for the season. They come in at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 417. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 259 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.95 (230 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (396 strikeouts against 182 walks). They have given up 50 long balls and they concede 5.58 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).
Miami has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 17 save opportunities and they have walked away with 7 saves. They sit at 30th in MLB holding a save percentage of 41.2%, and they have dispatched 160 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 49 times in high leverage situations and also on 46 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 40.6% of 69 inherited runners. With 37 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 20 holds and also 10 blown saves.
In 3,762 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (27th in baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 39 double plays and have a fielding rate of .980 (28th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 442 assists, 35 errors and have notched a total of 1,254 putouts during this campaign.
In his career, Weathers has given up 217 base hits while totaling 156 strikeouts in 205 innings. Weathers (7-19 career win-loss mark) has earned a 5.38 earned run average while surrendering 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 123 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.439 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.97 and he has gone up against 891 batters thus far in his career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (+116) and under 8.5 runs
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Additional Resources:
Miami Marlins - Twitter
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