Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros
Date: Friday, May 17, 2024
Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX
TV: Space City Home Network
The Milwaukee Brewers (26-17) are hitting the road to Minute Maid Park on Friday where they will try to defeat the Houston Astros (18-25). The expected starting pitchers are Freddy Peralta and Hunter Brown.
As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have earned a total of 223 runs scored and hold an OBP of .337. The Brewers have compiled 71 doubles as a squad and have knocked 55 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 212 RBI's and 385 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .259. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .429 and have been called out on strikes 395 times, while taking a walk on 157 occasions.
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The Brewers have an ERA of 3.96 on the season (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 343 hitters. Brewers pitchers have allowed 51 long balls in addition to 181 total runs (13th in baseball). They have walked 144 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.32 as a squad so far this season. Milwaukee has allowed 352 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 168 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.38 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30.
The Brewers have sent 140 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 60 base runners over the course of the season and 28.3% of them crossed the plate. They have earned 15 saves on the season and have blown 5 out of their 20 chances to get a save. The Brewers bullpen have earned a save rate of 75.0% and has entered the game in 42 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 22 holds on the campaign (19th in baseball). Brewers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 39 times as well as having 46 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Brewers have converted 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 3,438 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 1,146 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 369 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them sitting 10th in the majors, and they have turned 27 double plays.
Peralta has taken the mound for 625 innings and has accumulated 807 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.81 (265 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.119. He has conceded 458 base knocks (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 242 walks. Peralta (45-28 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.49 while he has faced 2,587 hitters during his time in the major leagues.
The Houston Astros have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .326 as well as a batting average of .261 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 281 occasions (30th in baseball) and have 388 hits. Houston has accounted for 49 HRs on the year and 182 RBIs. The Astros have a team SLG% of .412 and they are earning 4.47 runs per outing (14th in MLB). They have 69 two-baggers, while getting a free base 132 times as well as notching 192 runs.
The Houston pitching staff have given up 209 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.67 (197 earned runs given up). They have conceded 48 homers and they relinquish 4.95 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.434 in addition to having a FIP of 4.41 as a staff on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (365 strikeouts against 178 bases on balls). They rank 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 367.
Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.3% out of their 43 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 41 times in high leverage situations in addition to 28 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Astros have 22 holds and 9 blown saves. They sit at 30th in the league with a save rate of 40.0%, and they have dispatched 142 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Houston has had relief pitchers enter the game in 15 save opportunities and they have come away with 6 saves.
The Houston Astros have turned 42 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in MLB). The Astros have accrued 372 assists, 22 errors and are sitting with 1,140 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 3,420 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.3% (24th in MLB).
In his MLB career, Brown has surrendered 219 hits while totaling 236 strikeouts in 208 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 118 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.435 and having a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and he has gone up against 903 hitters during his career. Brown (13-17 career mark) has earned a 5.10 earned run average while allowing 9.5 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee
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Additional Resources:
Houston Astros - Twitter
Milwaukee Brewers - Twitter