Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Milwaukee Brewers (7-3) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Thursday where they will meet the Cincinnati Reds (6-5). The pitchers who are expected to start are Freddy Peralta and Nick Martínez.

As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 3rd in baseball. They have a total of 58 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .353. The Brewers have earned 17 doubles as a team and have smacked 14 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 56 RBI's as well as 98 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is .280. Milwaukee owns a slugging percentage of .454 and have been called out on strikes 90 times, while drawing a walk on 38 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Brewers pitchers have conceded 11 home runs and also 41 runs in total (10th in the league). Milwaukee has yielded 70 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 35 earned runs. The Brewers have an ERA of 3.94 for the season (11th in MLB), and they have rung up 72 hitters. They have walked 26 hitters and their FIP is 4.35 as a squad for the season.

Brewers pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 10 times as well as having 12 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 7 holds on the campaign (16th in MLB). The Brewers bullpen have a save rate of 71.4% and has come into the game in 14 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves so far this year and have blown 2 of their 7 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 16 base runners on the campaign with 50.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers have dispatched 33 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Brewers have converted 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 801 innings, which has them ranked 8th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 267 putouts so far this season, in addition to 83 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which is 15th in baseball, and they have turned 2 double plays.

Peralta (43-27 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.51 while he has gone up against 2,448 batters in the majors. He has conceded 432 base hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 228 walks. His ERA is 3.81 (251 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.114. Peralta has taken the mound for 592 frames and has earned 764 K's during his MLB career.

Cincinnati has knocked in 12 home runs over the course of the season as well as 57 RBIs. They have 27 two-baggers, while walking 35 times and scoring 61 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team on-base percentage of .318 as well as a team batting average of .250 so far this year. The Reds have a team SLG% of .437 and they tally 5.55 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 117 occasions (3rd in the league) and are sitting with 95 hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.289 and have a FIP of 4.47 as a staff on the year. They are sitting at 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 84. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 47 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.20 (42 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (89 strikeouts vs 32 bases on balls). They have surrendered 13 HR's and they surrender 4.70 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Cincinnati has called on relievers to take the mound in 4 save chances and they have converted 2 saves. They rank 20th in MLB holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 37 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 15 times in high leverage situations and on 8 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 13.3% out of their 15 inherited base runners. Sitting with 11 save situations, the Reds have recorded 7 holds and also 2 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 2 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .976 (24th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 75 assists, 9 errors and have accounted for 297 putouts so far this year. In 891 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (19th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Martinez has allowed 663 hits while he has earned 447 strikeouts in 642 innings. He has given up 311 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.393 and having a FIP of 4.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.94 and he has gone up against 2,782 hitters so far in his career. Martinez (27-38 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.36 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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