Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+102) Chicago (-120)

The Chicago Cubs (19-13) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (19-11) at Wrigley Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Milwaukee at +102 and Chicago is priced at -120. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Tobias Myers and Jameson Taillon.

Milwaukee is slugging .423 and have been rung up 273 times, while drawing a walk on 115 occasions. They have recorded 149 runs batted in and 270 hits so far this year, while their batting average sits at .259. The Brewers have accounted for 51 two-baggers as a team and have hit 38 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 157 runs and have an on-base percentage of .339. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 4th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.31 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 35 home runs and 132 runs in total (16th in the league). Milwaukee has relinquished 245 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 119 earned runs. The Brewers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.98 for the season (18th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 243 batters. They have walked 105 opposing players and their FIP is 4.34 as a team this season.

The Brewers relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 71.4% and has entered the game in 31 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 42 base runners so far this year with 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Brewers relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 29 times as well as having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 101 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen have accumulated 17 holds so far this season (17th in the league). They have accumulated 10 saves for the season and have blown 4 of their 14 save opportunities.

The Brewers have transformed 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,421 innings, which ranks them 11th in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have earned a total of 807 putouts this year, as well as 262 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which puts them in 16th in pro baseball, and they have turned 21 double plays.

Myers has taken the hill for 10 innings and is sitting with 9 K's during his career. His earned run average is 4.50 (5 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.000. He has conceded 9 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 1 walks. Myers (0-1 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.54 while he has gone up against 39 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Chicago Cubs have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .236 this season. They have struck out on 280 occasions (9th in baseball) and are sitting with 251 hits. Chicago has recorded 31 home runs so far this season as well as 146 RBIs. The Cubs hold a team slugging percentage of .384 and they are recording 4.88 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have 49 two-baggers, while getting a free base 118 times as well as scoring 156 runs.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 142 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.90 (123 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 30 dingers and they surrender 4.50 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.274 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.89 as a squad for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (269 strikeouts vs 106 free passes). They come in at 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 256.

Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.0% out of their 54 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 47 times in high leverage situations and also on 36 occasions with base runners. With 38 save situations, the Cubs have 20 holds and 7 blown saves. They are currently ranked 21st in baseball with a save rate of 58.8%, and they have sent 108 relievers onto the field on the year. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 17 save opportunities and they have tallied 10 saves.

In their 2,562 innings on the diamond, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (17th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 21 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .982 (20th in pro baseball). The Cubs have recorded 266 assists, 20 errors and have earned a total of 854 putouts so far this season.

In his MLB career, Taillon has allowed 932 base hits while totaling 859 K's in 960 innings. He has surrendered 422 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.62 and he has gone up against 4,005 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Taillon (61-45 career record) is the owner of a 3.96 earned run average and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-120) and under 7.5 runs

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