Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, September 12, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

The Washington Nationals (64-80) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (54-91) at Nationals Park on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers will be Darren McCaughan and DJ Herz.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are compiling 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in baseball. They have earned 555 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .297. The Marlins have tallied 214 two-baggers as a team and have hit 133 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 534 RBI's as well as 1,187 hits for the year, while their average at the plate is at .241. Miami has a slugging % of .373 and have been called out on strikes 1,247 times, while taking a walk on 354 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.38 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39. Marlins pitchers have given up 169 home runs in addition to 750 runs (28th in MLB). Miami has yielded 1,278 base knocks (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 677 earned runs. The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.74 for the season (28th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,195 hitters. They have walked 502 batters and their FIP is 4.38 as a unit this year.

The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 51.9% and has entered the game in 123 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 218 runners on the campaign and 38.1% of them crossed the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 156 times as well as having 169 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 497 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have racked up 69 holds over the course of the season (22nd in MLB). They have earned 27 saves this year and have blown 25 out of their 52 chances to save the game.

The Marlins have converted 67.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,568 innings, which has them sitting 28th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 3,856 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,293 assists and 102 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which has them sitting 29th in baseball, and they have turned 109 double plays.

McCaughan (0-0 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 7.21 and he has faced 185 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 50 hits (11.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 17 free passes. His earned run average is 7.32 (31 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.759. McCaughan has pitched in 38 innings and has racked up 26 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Washington Nationals have recorded a team OBP of .311 and a batting average of .244 on the season. They have been rung up on 1,075 occasions (26th in the league) and have 1,167 base knocks. Washington has recorded 120 HRs for the year to go along with 569 RBIs. The Nationals hold a slugging percentage of .378 and they score 4.19 runs per outing (21st in the league). They have 248 doubles, while getting a free base 416 times and putting up 604 runs.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.351 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a staff over the course of the season. They sit at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,296. The Washington pitching staff have allowed 693 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.38 (620 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.30 (1,173 strikeouts vs 427 walks). They have surrendered 152 home runs and they surrender 4.89 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.1% out of their 202 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 124 times in high leverage situations and also on 140 occasions with runners on base. With 127 save situations, the Nationals have tallied 71 holds and 19 blown saves. They are ranked 10th in the league with a save rate of 66.1%, and they have dispatched 506 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Washington has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 56 save chances and they have recorded 37 saves.

Out of their 11,481 innings on the field, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (30th in professional baseball). The Washington Nationals have turned 139 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Nationals have accrued 1,266 assists, 98 errors and are sitting with 3,827 putouts for the season.

In his career, Herz has allowed 63 hits while totaling 93 punch outs in 75 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 32 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.225 and having a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and he has faced 322 hitters during his MLB career. Herz (3-7 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.83 earned run average while conceding 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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