Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/27/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 27, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The Toronto Blue Jays (74-85) welcome the Miami Marlins (58-100) at Rogers Centre on Friday. The expected starting pitchers will be Adam Oller and Jose Berrios.

The Marlins have hit 233 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 146 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .375 and have been called out on strikes 1,366 times, while being walked on 387 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.8 runs per contest, which is 28th in baseball. They have recorded 579 runs batted in as well as 1,297 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average sits at .242. They have racked up 603 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .298.

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The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.80 so far this season (29th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,290 hitters. Marlins pitchers have given up 192 home runs and also 828 runs in total (29th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 537 batters and their FIP is 4.44 as a squad so far this season. Miami has conceded 1,399 base knocks (9.0 per 9 innings) and also 745 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.40 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.39.

Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 168 times and also have had 179 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 77 holds so far this season (23rd in baseball). The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 54.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 134 save situations. They have recorded 30 saves for the year and have missed out on 25 out of their 55 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 239 base runners this year and 37.7% of those runners crossed the plate. The Marlins have sent 543 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Miami Marlins have a total of 4,192 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,395 assists and 114 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .980 which has them ranked 30th in baseball, and have a total of 118 double plays. The Marlins have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,576 innings, which ranks them 28th in MLB.

Oller (4-13 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 6.46 and he has faced 602 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 146 hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) and has 71 free passes. His earned run average is 6.56 (95 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.664. Oller has taken the hill for 130 innings and has racked up 92 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .391 and they score 4.18 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have put up 278 doubles, while walking 498 times and scoring 664 runs. Toronto has recorded 154 home runs so far this season as well as 633 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,212 instances (25th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,286 base knocks. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated a team OBP of .314 in addition to a batting average of .242 for the year.

The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 717 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.21 (655 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 204 long balls and they allow 4.61 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.266 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.42 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.30 (1,290 strikeouts against 493 free passes). They rank 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,279.

With 147 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 85 holds and 23 blown saves. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 59 save opportunities and they have come away with 36 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 127 times in high leverage situations in addition to 155 occasions with runners on. Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of 239 inherited runners. They are ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 537 relievers to the hill this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 124 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,330 assists, 91 errors and have notched a total of 4,201 putouts this year. In 12,603 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (5th in the majors).

In his career, Berrios has given up 1,308 hits while he has accumulated 1,339 K's in 1,402 innings pitched. Berrios (99-76 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.04 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 630 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.228 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and he has faced 5,891 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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