Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, May 28, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Miami Marlins (19-35) are en route to Petco Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres (28-28). The pitchers taking the mound are Jesus Luzardo and Matt Waldron.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 3.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 29th in baseball. They are sitting with 201 runs while having a team OBP of .290. The Marlins have hit 69 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 43 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 195 RBI's as well as 425 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is .234. Miami has a slugging percentage of .350 and have struck out 408 times, while drawing a walk on 123 occasions.

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The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.66 for the season (28th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 453 hitters. Marlins pitchers have allowed 52 home runs and also 279 runs in total (29th in the league). They have walked 200 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a team this season. Miami has relinquished 463 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 249 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38.

Marlins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 52 times as well as having 54 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 23 holds so far this year (25th in MLB). The Marlins bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 45.0% and has entered the game in 43 save situations. They have accumulated 9 saves so far this year and have blown 11 of 20 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 75 base runners on the campaign and 37.3% of them crossed home plate. The Marlins have dispatched 179 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Miami Marlins have earned 1,443 putouts this year, as well as 512 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which is 28th in pro baseball, and have a total of 41 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,329 innings, which ranks them 27th in MLB.

Luzardo has thrown 491 innings and has earned 547 K's so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.18 (228 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.238. He has given up 436 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 172 free passes. Luzardo (25-31 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.88 while going up against 2,054 batters in the major leagues.

The Padres have a team slugging % of .389 and they average 4.43 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have 80 doubles, while taking a walk 175 times as well as scoring 248 runs. San Diego has accumulated 53 HRs this season and 238 RBIs. They have struck out on 406 occasions (26th in baseball) and have accounted for 483 hits. The San Diego Padres hold an on-base percentage of .322 as well as a team batting average of .255 for the year.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.213 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a pitching staff on the season. They come in at 18th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 438. The San Diego pitching staff have given up 240 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.96 (219 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 9.10 (501 strikeouts vs 165 walks). They have relinquished 64 dingers and they allow 4.35 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 22 save chances and they have come away with 16 saves. They are ranked 5th in MLB holding a save rate of 72.7%, and they have dispatched 180 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 46 times in high leverage situations and also on 62 occasions with base runners. San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 87 inherited runners. Sitting with 46 save situations, the Padres have 23 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 42 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (12th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 443 assists, 29 errors and have amassed 1,492 putouts on the campaign. In 4,476 innings on the diamond, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (9th in the majors).

During his career, Waldron has conceded 92 base knocks while tallying 83 K's in 91 frames. He has conceded a total of 47 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.347 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has gone up against 394 batters in his career. Waldron (3-8 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.63 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego

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