Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/27/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, May 27, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+154) San Diego (-175)

The San Diego Padres (27-28) welcome the Miami Marlins (18-35) at Petco Park on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Marlins at +154 and the Padres are sitting at -175. The total is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Trevor Rogers and Michael King.

The Marlins have hit 68 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 43 baseballs out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging percentage of .352 and have struck out 398 times, while drawing a walk on 121 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.7 runs per game, which puts them at 28th in baseball. They have tallied 193 RBI's and 416 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .234. They have racked up 198 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .289.

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The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.73 so far this year (29th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 442 hitters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 52 home runs and also 278 runs (29th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 199 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.16 as a squad for the year. Miami has conceded 457 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 248 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.22 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.39.

The Marlins bullpen have earned a save percentage of 42.1% and has come into the game in 40 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 75 runners for the year and 37.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 52 times as well as having 53 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 176 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers are sitting with 21 holds for the year (28th in the league). They have accumulated 8 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 11 out of their 19 chances to get a save.

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 1,416 putouts this season, in addition to 503 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is at .981 which puts them in 28th in MLB, and have earned 41 double plays. The Marlins have converted 68.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 4,248 innings, ranking them 27th in professional baseball.

Rogers has taken the ball for 331 frames and is sitting with 362 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.40 (162 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.402. He has conceded 332 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 133 walks. Rogers (14-29 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.61 and he has gone up against 1,458 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Padres hold a team slugging % of .390 and they earn 4.42 runs per game (13th in the league). They have hit 78 two-baggers, while taking a walk 170 times and notching 243 runs. San Diego has accounted for 53 home runs for the year to go along with 233 RBIs. They have struck out on 399 occasions (24th in the league) and have a total of 474 base hits. The San Diego Padres hold a team OBP of .320 as well as a team batting average of .255 on the year.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.215 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a squad for the year. They are sitting at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 430. The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 238 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.00 (217 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (489 strikeouts against 163 walks). They have conceded 63 long balls and they allow 4.39 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

San Diego has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 21 save opportunities and they have earned 15 saves. They rank 8th in MLB with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have sent 177 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 46 times in high leverage situations and also on 60 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of their 84 inherited runners. With 45 save situations, the Padres have compiled 23 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

Out of their 4,395 innings on the diamond, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (8th in MLB). The San Diego Padres have gotten 42 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (13th in professional baseball). The Padres have accrued 438 assists, 29 errors and are sitting with 1,465 putouts this year.

So far in his MLB career, King has surrendered 264 base hits and he has 349 strikeouts in 308 innings. King (17-21 career mark) has earned a 3.56 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 122 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.215 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.14 and he has faced 1,298 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-175)

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