Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, September 11, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+130) Pittsburgh (-155)

PNC Park is where the Pittsburgh Pirates (68-76) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (54-90) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Marlins at +130 while the Pirates open at -155. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Adam Mazur and Bailey Falter.

The Marlins have tallied 212 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 133 balls out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging % of .374 and have struck out 1,238 times, while drawing a walk on 350 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are compiling 3.8 runs per game, which ranks them 29th in the league. They have accumulated 530 RBI's and 1,178 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .241. They have 551 runs scored and hold an OBP of .297.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.73 on the season (28th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,189 hitters. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 168 long balls in addition to 744 runs in total (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 498 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.38 as a team for the season. Miami has allowed 1,270 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 671 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.39 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.38.

Marlins pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 156 times in addition to having 169 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 69 holds this year (19th in MLB). The Marlins bullpen have earned a save rate of 51.9% and has entered the game in 123 save situations. They have earned 27 saves this season and have not converted 25 of 52 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 218 base runners on the season and 38.1% of those players ended up scoring. The Marlins have dispatched 496 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Marlins have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,496 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 28th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 3,832 putouts thus far, as well as 1,285 assists and 101 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .981 which ranks 29th in professional baseball, and they have turned 107 double plays.

Mazur (1-3 mark in his career) has a FIP of 7.48 while facing 158 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 40 base knocks (10.8 hits per 9 innings) with 21 walks. His ERA is 7.59 (28 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.837. Mazur has pitched in 33 frames and has totaled 22 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates hold an on-base percentage of .302 in addition to a batting average of .235 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,331 occasions (4th in baseball) and have earned 1,151 base knocks. Pittsburgh has 142 HRs on the year to go along with 588 runs batted in. The Pirates hold a team slugging % of .372 and they score 4.24 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have hit 210 two-baggers, while taking a walk 431 times and scoring 610 runs.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have yielded 659 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.16 (592 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 152 home runs and they yield 4.63 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.313 in addition to having a FIP of 4.07 as a team over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (1,203 strikeouts against 447 walks). They come in at 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,237.

Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 63 save chances and they have earned 35 saves. They are currently ranked 28th in the league with a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 445 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 153 times in high leverage situations in addition to 115 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.1% out of their 172 inherited runners. With 134 save situations, the Pirates have 70 holds and also 28 blown saves.

Out of their 11,544 innings played, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (23rd in MLB). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 126 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in the majors). The Pirates have 1,233 assists, 77 errors and have a total of 3,848 putouts so far this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Falter has surrendered 336 hits while he has tallied 252 strikeouts in 319 innings. Falter (17-21 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.66 ERA while giving up 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 165 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.303 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.19 and he has gone up against 1,339 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+130)

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