Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+240) Philadelphia (-295)

The Miami Marlins (29-53) are on their way to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (54-28). The moneyline on this matchup has Miami at +240 and Philadelphia is priced at -295. The betting total is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Yonny Chirinos and Ranger Suarez.

The Marlins have tallied 110 doubles as a team and have knocked 64 balls out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging rate of .348 and have been called out on strikes 659 times, while taking a walk on 167 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are putting up 3.5 runs per game, which puts them at 29th in the league. They have recorded 275 RBI's and 635 hits this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .230. They have 284 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .280.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35. Marlins pitchers have conceded 84 home runs in addition to 410 runs in total (28th in MLB). Miami has yielded 709 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 367 earned runs. The Marlins have a team earned run average of 4.54 over the course of the season (26th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 653 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 275 opposing players and their FIP is 4.19 as a team so far this year.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 85 times and also have had 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 35 holds on the campaign (25th in baseball). The Marlins relief pitchers have a save rate of 44.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 64 save situations. They have compiled 13 saves over the course of the season and have blown 16 out of their 29 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 115 runners on the campaign and 33.0% of those runners ended up scoring. The Marlins have sent 283 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Marlins have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs in their 6,555 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 2,185 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 781 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them ranked 29th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 64 double plays.

Chirinos has taken the ball for 336 frames and has earned 269 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.99 (149 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.211. He has surrendered 319 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 88 walks. Chirinos (20-15 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.93 and he has gone up against 1,392 hitters in the majors.

Philadelphia has hit 97 home runs for the year as well as 393 runs batted in. They have notched 134 doubles, while walking 293 times and putting up 411 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled a team on-base percentage of .332 as well as a batting average of .259 for the year. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .421 and they tally 5.01 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have been rung up on 676 occasions (15th in MLB) and have 725 base hits.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.122 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.30 as a staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (739 strikeouts vs 215 walks). They sit at 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 614. They have surrendered 65 homers and they allow 3.53 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 290 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.04 (250 earned runs given up).

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.0% out of their 75 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 94 times in high leverage situations and on 57 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 73 save situations, the Phillies have earned 38 holds and 13 blown saves. They are ranked 17th in baseball with a save rate of 61.8%, and they have sent 248 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 34 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 64 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 754 assists, 47 errors and have accumulated 2,217 putouts on the season. In 6,651 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Suarez has allowed 505 base knocks and he has 508 punch outs in 552 innings pitched. He has given up 192 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.241 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.82 and he has faced 2,300 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Suarez (39-23 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.13 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+240)

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