Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, August 17, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (62-58) will take on the Miami Marlins (45-76) on Saturday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Max Meyer and Luis Severino.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 3.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 29th in baseball. They have accounted for 450 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .294. The Marlins have accrued 162 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 112 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 436 RBI's and 976 base knocks this year, and their team batting average comes in at .238. Miami has a slugging % of .366 and have struck out 1,044 times, while drawing a walk on 289 occasions.

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The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.59 for the season (28th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,000 hitters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 132 home runs and also 610 total runs (28th in baseball). They have walked 411 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.24 as a unit so far this year. Miami has allowed 1,061 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and also 549 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.43 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.37.

Marlins pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 125 times as well as having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 57 holds for the year (20th in the league). The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 51.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 103 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves this year and have not converted 22 of their 45 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 172 runners this year with 34.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have sent 417 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Miami Marlins have accumulated 3,226 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,101 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which ranks 29th in pro baseball, and have a total of 90 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,678 innings, which has them ranked 28th in baseball.

Meyer has taken the ball for 42 innings and has 36 K's during his career. Meyer (3-3 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 5.47 and he has gone up against 178 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.56 (26 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.306. He has allowed 44 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 11 walks.

The New York Mets have a team OBP of .321 and a team batting average of .249 so far this season. They have been rung up on 1,002 instances (18th in MLB) and have earned 1,029 base hits. New York has knocked in 149 home runs so far this season to go along with 551 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging % of .417 and they are scoring 4.78 runs per game (9th in the league). They have put up 223 two-baggers, while getting a free base 387 times as well as putting up 574 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 551 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.17 (496 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 133 HR's and they allow 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.301 and have a FIP of 4.28 as a pitching staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (1,076 strikeouts against 457 walks). They come in at 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 936.

New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 48 save opportunities and they have walked away with 31 saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.6%, and they have sent 388 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 131 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.5% out of their 161 inherited runners. With 122 save situations, the Mets have amassed 74 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 100 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Mets have 1,039 assists, 78 errors and have accumulated 3,214 putouts this year. In 9,642 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in MLB).

During his pro baseball career, Severino has allowed 770 base knocks and he has 897 punch outs in 860 innings pitched. Severino (61-43 career mark) has earned a 3.85 ERA and has given up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 368 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.198 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.44 and he has faced 3,588 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York

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