Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+235) Houston (-290)

The Miami Marlins (32-59) are headed to Minute Maid Park on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Houston Astros (47-44). The moneyline on this contest has the Marlins at +235 while the Astros are priced at -290. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Roddery Munoz and Hunter Brown.

The Marlins have hit 125 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 73 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .350 and have been called out on strikes 741 times, while drawing a walk on 194 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.5 runs per outing, which is 29th in MLB. They have accrued 310 runs batted in and 708 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .230. They have earned 319 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .281.

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The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 4.50 over the course of the season (26th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 749 batters. Marlins pitchers have yielded 90 long balls and also 454 total runs (28th in the league). They have walked 311 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a unit over the course of the season. Miami has allowed 793 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 405 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.41 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36.

The Marlins relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 46.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 72 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 130 base runners over the course of the season with 34.6% of those runners crossed home plate. Marlins pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 96 times and also have had 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 318 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have accumulated 40 holds this season (23rd in MLB). They have accumulated 15 saves for the season and have not converted 17 of their 32 chances to save the game.

The Marlins have converted 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,293 innings, which ranks them 28th in baseball. The Miami Marlins have 2,431 putouts on the year, in addition to 843 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which has them sitting 28th in the majors, and have accumulated 67 double plays.

Munoz has pitched in 44 innings and has earned 40 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 5.51 (27 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.474. He has given up 41 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 24 walks. Munoz (1-3 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.43 and he has gone up against 195 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Houston Astros have an on-base percentage of .324 as well as a team batting average of .263 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 633 occasions (30th in baseball) and have earned 824 base hits. Houston has accumulated 105 long balls for the season to go along with 416 RBIs. The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .420 and they are recording 4.76 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have recorded 156 two-baggers, while taking a walk 257 times and recording 433 runs.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.314 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a squad this year. They come in at 13th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 728. The Houston pitching staff have allowed 395 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.13 (370 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (776 strikeouts vs 331 bases on balls). They have given up 105 long balls and they relinquish 4.41 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).

With 86 save situations, the Astros have 51 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Houston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have walked away with 21 saves. Their relievers have come in 84 times in high leverage situations in addition to 49 occasions with base runners. Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.6% of 71 inherited base runners. They are ranked 19th in MLB with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 290 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Houston Astros have gotten 75 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (4th in MLB). The Astros have 776 assists, 39 errors and have earned a total of 2,419 putouts for the season. Out of their 7,257 innings on the field, the Astros have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (11th in the majors).

So far in his career, Brown has allowed 264 base knocks while he has totaled 300 strikeouts in 268 frames. Brown (19-19 career record) is the owner of a 4.57 ERA while conceding 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 136 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.350 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.06 and he has faced 1,143 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-290)

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