Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/14/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 14, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Miami Marlins (32-61) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Sunday where they will take on the Cincinnati Reds (45-49). The expected starting pitchers will be Trevor Rogers and Nick Lodolo.

Miami has a slugging rate of .351 and have been called out on strikes 768 times, while being walked on 196 occasions. They have earned 314 runs batted in and 725 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .231. The Marlins have accounted for 127 doubles as a team and have knocked 75 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 323 runs scored while having a team OBP of .281. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 29th in MLB.

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The Marlins have a team earned run average of 4.54 for the year (27th in the league), and their staff has rung up 760 hitters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 91 home runs in addition to 469 runs (28th in baseball). They have walked 315 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.09 as a squad for the season. Miami has given up 811 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 417 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.41 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36.

The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 46.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 72 save situations. The relievers have inherited 132 base runners this season with 35.6% of them crossed home plate. Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 97 times and also have had 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 323 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have recorded 40 holds this year (24th in baseball). They have earned 15 saves so far this year and have blown 17 of their 32 save chances.

The Miami Marlins have earned 2,479 putouts this season, in addition to 857 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which puts them in 29th in baseball, and they have turned 67 double plays. The Marlins have converted 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,437 innings on the field, which has them sitting 28th in baseball.

Rogers has taken the hill for 375 frames and has totaled 396 K's so far in his MLB career. Rogers (14-32 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.23 while he has faced 1,645 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.29 (179 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.397. He has allowed 373 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) with 151 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .305 as well as a team batting average of .230 for the year. They have struck out on 848 occasions (6th in MLB) and have notched a total of 707 hits. Cincinnati is sitting with 98 home runs this season as well as 388 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .389 and they are earning 4.39 runs per contest (15th in baseball). They have recorded 155 doubles, while taking a walk 287 times and putting up 413 runs.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.243 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.12 as a pitching staff this year. They are currently ranked 11th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 736. The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 381 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.81 (351 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (787 strikeouts against 295 walks). They have allowed 101 long balls and they surrender 4.14 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.6% out of 127 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 89 times in high leverage situations and also on 80 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 88 save situations, the Reds have earned 60 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They are currently ranked 1st in baseball with a save percentage of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 301 relievers to the mound so far this season. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 27 save opportunities and they have come away with 21 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 712 assists, 57 errors and are sitting with 2,489 putouts on the campaign. In 7,467 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Lodolo has surrendered 201 hits while tallying 255 strikeouts in 210 innings. He has conceded 93 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.283 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.70 and he has gone up against 915 hitters during his career. Lodolo (14-11 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.98 earned run average while conceding 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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