Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/19/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, April 19, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+124) Chicago (-146)

The Chicago Cubs (11-7) welcome the Miami Marlins (4-15) at Wrigley Field on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at +124 and Chicago is priced at -146. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Jesus Luzardo and Shota Imanaga.

Miami has a slugging % of .322 and have been called out on strikes 151 times, while taking a walk on 51 occasions. They have compiled 68 runs batted in as well as 137 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is at .216. The Marlins have compiled 20 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 15 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 70 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .279. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 3.7 runs/g, which is 23rd in the league.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.84 for the year (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 169 hitters. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 20 home runs and also 105 runs in total (28th in the league). They have walked 87 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.41 as a squad for the season. Miami has surrendered 175 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 92 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.94 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.53.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 18 times in addition to having 17 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 12 holds on the year (10th in MLB). The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 25.0% and has come into the game in 20 save situations. They have compiled 2 saves this season and have missed out on 6 out of their 8 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 31 base runners this season and 38.7% of them earned a run for their team. The Marlins have sent 63 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 513 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 175 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .980 which puts them in 23rd in the majors, and have earned 18 double plays. The Marlins have turned 66.1% of balls in play into outs in their 1,539 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in pro baseball.

Luzardo has taken the hill for 465 innings and has tallied 522 K's in his MLB career. Luzardo (23-30 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.01 and he has faced 1,960 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.33 (224 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.266. He has surrendered 421 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 168 walks.

The Cubs hold a slugging % of .415 and they score 5.61 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have hit 26 doubles, while getting a free base 70 times and putting up 101 runs. Chicago is sitting with 21 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 91 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 149 occasions (20th in the league) and have 151 base knocks. The Chicago Cubs have recorded a team OBP of .327 in addition to a batting average of .247 so far this year.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.336 in addition to having a FIP of 4.18 as a staff so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (166 strikeouts against 72 bases on balls). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 142. They have conceded 19 homers and they relinquish 4.83 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 86 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.33 (77 earned runs allowed).

With 22 save situations, the Cubs have accrued 12 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 9 save opportunities and they have earned 4 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 27 times in high leverage situations and also on 20 occasions with runners on. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 48.3% out of their 29 inherited runners. They rank 24th in MLB holding a save percentage of 44.4%, and they have dispatched 66 relievers onto the field this season.

In 1,446 innings played, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (18th in pro baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 14 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (21st in MLB). The Cubs have 148 assists, 12 errors and have amassed 482 putouts this season.

Imanaga (2-0 record in his career) has a 0.00 ERA while conceding 5.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 and he has faced 59 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 0 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.717 and being the owner of a FIP of 1.5. In his pro baseball career, Imanaga has conceded 9 hits and he has 16 punch outs in 15 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+124)

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