Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/22/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, April 22, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+180) Atlanta (-218)

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (14-5) will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (6-17) on Monday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +180 while the Braves are priced at -218. The total has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Ryan Weathers and Reynaldo Lopez.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.6 runs per game, which puts them at 27th in MLB. They have earned 79 runs while holding a team OBP of .277. The Marlins have tallied 24 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 18 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 77 runs batted in and 159 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .216. Miami has a slugging rate of .325 and have been rung up 175 times, while drawing a walk on 57 occasions.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.91 this year (27th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 197 hitters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 22 home runs and also 120 total runs (29th in MLB). They have walked 98 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.32 as a squad so far this year. Miami has surrendered 199 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) as well as 107 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.01 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.52.

Marlins pitchers have entered the game with players on base 19 times as well as having 19 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 12 holds this year (12th in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 30.0% and has entered the game in 22 save situations. They have compiled 3 saves this season and have blown 7 out of their 10 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 33 runners on the campaign and 36.4% of them ended up scoring. The Marlins have sent 71 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Marlins have turned 66.0% of balls in play into outs out of 1,764 innings, ranking them 28th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have a total of 588 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 201 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which puts them in 23rd in the majors, and have a total of 22 double plays.

Weathers has pitched in 176 innings and has accounted for 140 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Weathers (7-16 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 5.47 while going up against 768 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.52 (108 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.506. He has given up 193 base hits (9.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 72 walks.

The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .486 and they average 6.37 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have recorded 52 doubles, while walking 67 times and racking up 121 runs. Atlanta has accumulated 25 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 116 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 166 instances (20th in the league) and are sitting with 196 hits. The Atlanta Braves have earned an on-base percentage of .360 as well as a team batting average of .290 this season.

The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 84 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.21 (79 earned runs yielded). They have given up 19 long balls and they relinquish 4.47 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.272 with a FIP of 3.99 as a team over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (157 strikeouts against 61 walks). They are currently ranked 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 154.

Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.0% out of 20 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 20 times in high leverage situations and also on 16 occasions with runners on. With 20 save situations, the Braves have 11 holds and 2 blown saves. They sit at 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 64 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 9 save opportunities and they have walked away with 7 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 19 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .993 (1st in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 184 assists, 5 errors and have 507 putouts this year. In 1,521 innings on the field, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (11th in baseball).

Lopez (41-49 career record) has earned a 4.22 earned run average and has given up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.49 and he has gone up against 2,959 batters in his career. He has allowed 327 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.4. During his MLB career, Lopez has conceded 646 hits while he has totaled 635 strikeouts in 697 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+180)

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