Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, March 21, 2024

Location: Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul, South Korea

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-162) San Diego (+136)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62 last year) are hitting the road to Gocheok Sky Dome on Thursday where they will take on the San Diego Padres (82-80 last season). The line on this matchup has the Dodgers at -162 and the Padres are priced at +136. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Joe Musgrove.

Los Angeles had a slugging percentage of .455 and were rung up 1,359 times, while being walked on 644 occasions. They accounted for 877 RBI's as well as 1,422 hits last year, and their team batting average was .257. The Dodgers compiled 303 doubles as a unit and hit 249 baseballs out of the park. They notched a total of 906 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .340. As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers knocked in 5.6 runs per contest, which ranked them 2nd in the league.

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They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.20. Dodgers pitchers allowed 200 long balls in addition to 699 total runs (11th in the league). Los Angeles allowed 1,284 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 652 earned runs. The Dodgers held a team ERA of 4.06 for the previous season (13th in the league), and they rung up 1,388 batters. Their pitching staff walked 454 hitters and their FIP finished at 4.23 as a team for the previous season.

Dodgers pitchers went to the mound with runners on 135 times and also had 157 games in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers racked up 88 holds over the course of last season (12th in the league). The Dodgers bullpen recorded a save rate of 72.1% and stepped onto the hill in 150 save situations. They tallied 44 saves for the previous season and blew 17 of 61 save chances. The relief pitchers inherited 203 base runners for the prior year with 26.1% of those runners crossed home plate. The Dodgers had sent 551 relievers to the hill during the previous year.

The Dodgers converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 13,017 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting at 2nd in pro baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers had a tally of 4,339 putouts during the previous year, as well as 1,406 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage held steady at .987 which ranked 10th in pro baseball, and accumulated 139 double plays.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will be making his MLB debut after signing a $325 million dollar contract in the offseason

The Padres had a slugging percentage of .413 and they were scoring 4.64 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They hit 273 doubles, while taking a walk 653 times and scoring 752 runs. San Diego accounted for 205 home runs over the course of the prior season to go along with 719 RBIs. They were rung up on 1,311 occasions (23rd in MLB) and recorded 1,316 base hits. The San Diego Padres held an on-base percentage of .329 and a batting average of .244 over the course of last year.

The Padres had a team WHIP of 1.268 in addition to having a FIP of 4.14 as a unit over the course of last year. They had a ranking of 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,270. The San Diego pitching staff surrendered 648 runs in the previous season while holding an ERA of 3.73 (598 earned runs allowed). They had a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,445 strikeouts vs 557 bases on balls). They relinquished 174 homers and they conceded 4.05 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

With 148 save situations, the Padres amassed 83 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. San Diego called on relievers to enter the contest in 64 save opportunities and they recorded 36 saves. Their relievers came in 155 times in high leverage situations in addition to 115 occasions with runners on. San Diego relievers had an inherited score percentage of 39.1% out of their 174 inherited runners. They were ranked 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 56.3%, and they sent 508 bullpen pitchers to the hill last year.

In 12,969 innings on the field, the Padres had a efficiency on defense of 70.2% (6th in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres turned 130 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (7th in the majors). The Padres recorded 1,444 assists, 73 errors and a tally of 4,323 putouts for the prior year.

So far in his MLB career, Musgrove has allowed 876 base hits while he has earned 949 K's in 956 frames. Musgrove (60-57 career mark) has a 3.72 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 395 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.166 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.97 and he has faced 3,975 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (+136)

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