Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 10/9/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+131) San Diego (-157)

The San Diego Padres (93-69) will compete against the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) at Petco Park on Wednesday in Game 4 of the NLDS. The odds on this game have Los Angeles at +131 while San Diego is sitting at -157. The total is 8. The starting pitchers are Landon Knack and Dylan Cease.

The Dodgers have tallied 291 two-baggers as a team and have hit 233 baseballs out of the park. Los Angeles has a slugging rate of .446 and have been rung up 1,336 times, while being walked on 602 occasions. As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are recording 5.2 runs per outing, which ranks them 2nd in the league. They have 815 runs batted in and 1,423 hits so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .258. They are sitting with 842 runs and hold an OBP of .335.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.77 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Dodgers pitchers have allowed 198 home runs and 686 total runs (13th in baseball). Los Angeles has given up 1,273 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 626 earned runs. The Dodgers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.90 this year (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,390 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 501 batters and their FIP is 4.18 as a team for the season.

The Dodgers have sent 565 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 160 base runners on the season with 32.5% of them crossed home plate. They have recorded 50 saves this year and have blown 29 of 79 save chances. The Dodgers relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 63.3% and has entered the game in 186 save situations. The relievers have recorded 104 holds on the campaign (4th in baseball). Dodgers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 118 times in addition to having 179 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Dodgers have transformed 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,011 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 2nd in the majors. The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned 4,337 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,366 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 18th in baseball, and they have turned 119 double plays.

Knack (3-5 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.60 while he has gone up against 286 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 58 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 18 free passes. His ERA is 3.65 (28 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.101. Knack has taken the hill for 69 innings and has earned 69 K's during his career.

The Padres hold a team slugging % of .420 and they earn 4.69 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have hit 259 doubles, while walking 458 times and earning 760 runs. San Diego has tallied 190 HRs over the course of the season and 726 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,077 occasions (30th in the league) and have recorded 1,456 hits. The San Diego Padres have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a batting average of .263 so far this season.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.222 with a FIP of 3.77 as a team on the season. They have a ranking of 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,296. The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 669 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,453 strikeouts against 462 walks). They have allowed 169 home runs and they relinquish 4.18 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

Sitting with 154 save situations, the Padres have accrued 85 holds and also 23 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 67 save opportunities and they have tallied 44 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 163 occasions with runners on. San Diego relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% of 246 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 12th in MLB with a save rate of 65.7%, and they have sent 539 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 117 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in professional baseball). The Padres have accrued 1,297 assists, 75 errors and have 4,318 putouts this year. In their 12,954 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (16th in pro baseball).

In his career, Cease has given up 702 hits while totaling 1,016 K's in 847 innings. Cease (57-46 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.75 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 353 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.253 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and he has faced 3,582 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take San Diego (-157) and under 8 runs

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