Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-104) Philadelphia (-112)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (59-32) will try to defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-37) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Los Angeles at -104 and Philadelphia is coming in at -112. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Landon Knack and Aaron Nola.

Los Angeles owns a slugging percentage of .438 and have been rung up 749 times, while being walked on 355 occasions. They have amassed 444 RBI's and 800 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate sits at .255. The Dodgers have compiled 169 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 125 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 459 runs while having a team OBP of .335. As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are compiling 5.0 runs/g, which has them sitting at 4th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.17. Dodgers pitchers have surrendered 105 home runs in addition to 364 total runs (6th in the league). Los Angeles has given up 683 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 338 earned runs. The Dodgers have an earned run average of 3.69 for the season (7th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 782 hitters. They have walked 279 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.07 as a team for the year.

The Dodgers have dispatched 294 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 base runners on the campaign with 31.5% of them crossed home plate. They have recorded 27 saves on the campaign and have blown 15 of 42 save opportunities. The Dodgers relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 64.3% and has come into the game in 93 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 50 holds this year (13th in baseball). Dodgers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 57 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a tally of 2,475 putouts thus far, as well as 793 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which is 8th in professional baseball, and they have turned 58 double plays. The Dodgers have turned 72.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,425 innings, which has them sitting 2nd in the majors.

Knack has pitched in 34 innings and has 31 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 2.89 (11 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 0.994. He has conceded 25 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 9 free passes. Knack (1-2 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 2.85 while he has gone up against 139 opposing hitters in the majors.

Philadelphia has tallied 109 home runs so far this year to go along with 432 RBIs. They have 148 doubles, while getting a free base 313 times as well as putting up 452 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a team batting average of .259 on the season. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .421 and they earn 4.97 runs per outing (5th in MLB). They have been rung up on 764 occasions (14th in the league) and have tallied 807 hits.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.137 in addition to having a FIP of 3.42 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.20 (833 strikeouts against 239 free passes). They sit at 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 690. They have given up 80 long balls and they give up 3.68 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 334 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.24 (294 earned runs surrendered).

With 80 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 40 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 39 save opportunities and they have tallied 25 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 101 times in high leverage situations and on 60 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.0% of 79 inherited runners. They are ranked 15th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.1%, and they have dispatched 279 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 66 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors). The Phillies have accrued 827 assists, 54 errors and are sitting with 2,451 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 7,353 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (12th in the majors).

Nola (100-75 record in his career) holds a 3.71 earned run average while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.27 and he has faced 6,265 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 632 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.122 and having a FIP of 3.7. During his career, Nola has surrendered 1,326 hits while accumulating 1,689 K's in 1,535 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-112)

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