Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction, 10/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, October 17, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FS1

The New York Mets (89-73) will try to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) at Citi Field on Thursday in Game 4 of the NLCS. The pitchers taking the mound will be Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Jose Quintana. LA opens at -115 while the Mets open at -105. The total is 8.

The Dodgers have accumulated 291 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 233 baseballs out of the park. Los Angeles owns a slugging percentage of .446 and have struck out 1,336 times, while being walked on 602 occasions. As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are earning 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 2nd in MLB. They have accrued 815 runs batted in and 1,423 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is .258. They have tallied 842 runs scored and have an OBP of .335.

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The Dodgers have an ERA of 3.90 so far this season (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,390 hitters. Dodgers pitchers have allowed 198 long balls and also 686 runs in total (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 501 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.18 as a team on the season. Los Angeles has given up 1,273 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 626 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.77 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Dodgers have dispatched 565 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 160 runners this season with 32.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 50 saves so far this year and have blown 29 of their 79 chances to save the game. The Dodgers relievers have compiled a save rate of 63.3% and has come into the game in 186 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 104 holds for the season (4th in MLB). Dodgers relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 118 times in addition to having 179 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned a total of 4,337 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,366 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which puts them in 18th in the majors, and have 119 double plays. The Dodgers have transformed 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 13,011 innings on the field, ranking them 2nd in baseball.

Yamamoto (7-2 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.96 and he has gone up against 368 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 78 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 22 walks. His earned run average is 3.00 (30 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.111. Yamamoto has thrown 90 innings and has 105 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .319 as well as a batting average of .246 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,382 occasions (15th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,357 base knocks. New York has compiled 207 home runs on the campaign to go along with 735 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging % of .415 and they score 4.74 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have put up 279 two-baggers, while taking a walk 514 times and racking up 768 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 697 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.96 (634 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 165 homers and they relinquish 4.35 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.261 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.05 as a staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,455 strikeouts against 586 walks). They are sitting at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,232.

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 64 save chances and they have earned 39 saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 516 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 173 times in high leverage situations and on 159 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of their 214 inherited base runners. With 163 save situations, the Mets have recorded 97 holds and also 25 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 127 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (25th in MLB). The Mets have 1,408 assists, 94 errors and have earned 4,327 putouts so far this season. In 12,981 innings on the field, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (9th in MLB).

So far in his career, Quintana has allowed 1,923 base knocks and he has 1,727 K's in 1,969 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 819 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has faced 8,256 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Quintana (102-103 career record) has a 3.74 ERA while conceding 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-105)

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