Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction, 10/16/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, October 16, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FS1

The New York Mets (89-73) are welcoming the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) at Citi Field on Wednesday in Game 3 of the NLCS. The series is tied 1-1. The expected starting pitchers will be Walker Buehler and Luis Severino. Both teams open at -110 and the total opens at 8.

As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are compiling 5.2 runs/g, which puts them at 2nd in the league. They have earned 842 runs scored while having a team OBP of .335. The Dodgers have accrued 291 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 233 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 815 runs batted in and 1,423 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .258. Los Angeles has a slugging rate of .446 and have struck out 1,336 times, while being walked on 602 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Dodgers pitchers have given up 198 home runs and also 686 runs (13th in baseball). Los Angeles has given up 1,273 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 626 earned runs. The Dodgers have an earned run average of 3.90 for the season (13th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,390 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 501 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.18 as a team over the course of the season.

Dodgers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 118 times in addition to having 179 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 104 holds this year (4th in MLB). The Dodgers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 63.3% and has come into the game in 186 save situations. They have earned 50 saves over the course of the season and have blown 29 out of their 79 save chances. The relievers have inherited 160 base runners on the campaign and 32.5% of those players ended up scoring. The Dodgers have sent 565 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned 4,337 putouts thus far, as well as 1,366 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which ranks 18th in pro baseball, and have a total of 119 double plays. The Dodgers have turned 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 13,011 innings, which has them sitting 2nd in MLB.

Buehler has pitched in 713 frames and is sitting with 754 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.27 (259 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.091. He has given up 588 base hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 190 free passes. Buehler (47-22 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.22 while he has faced 2,902 hitters in the majors.

The New York Mets are sitting with an OBP of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .246 this year. They have been rung up on 1,382 occasions (15th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,357 base hits. New York is sitting with 207 home runs on the campaign as well as 735 runs batted in. The Mets have a SLG% of .415 and they average 4.74 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have recorded 279 doubles, while walking 514 times and scoring 768 runs.

The New York pitching staff have relinquished 697 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.96 (634 earned runs allowed). They have given up 165 long balls and they relinquish 4.35 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.261 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a staff this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,455 strikeouts against 586 walks). They rank 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,232.

New York has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 64 save opportunities and they have come away with 39 saves. They sit at 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have sent 516 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Their relievers have come in 173 times in high leverage situations and on 159 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% of 214 inherited base runners. With 163 save situations, the Mets have 97 holds and also 25 blown saves.

Out of their 12,981 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (9th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 127 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (25th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 1,408 assists, 94 errors and have earned a total of 4,327 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Severino has surrendered 813 hits and he has 949 K's in 909 frames. He has surrendered a total of 385 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.197 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.45 and he has gone up against 3,783 hitters in his MLB career. Severino (65-44 career win-loss record) holds a 3.81 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-110)

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