Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+110) Toronto (-130)

Rogers Centre is where the Toronto Blue Jays (15-15) will try to defeat the Kansas City Royals (17-13) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Royals at +110 and the Blue Jays are at -130. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Seth Lugo and Chris Bassitt.

As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are earning 4.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 13th in baseball. They have a total of 138 runs while having a team OBP of .303. The Royals have recorded 45 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 31 balls out of the park. They have compiled 130 runs batted in as well as 233 hits on the year, while their team batting average is at .236. Kansas City has a slugging % of .388 and have been rung up 203 times, while being walked on 89 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28. Royals pitchers have conceded 22 home runs and 96 total runs (2nd in MLB). Kansas City has allowed 238 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 95 earned runs. The Royals have an earned run average of 3.29 over the course of the season (6th in MLB), and they have struck out 217 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 94 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.84 as a team so far this season.

The Royals have dispatched 92 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 29 base runners on the year with 17.2% of those players earned a run for their team. They have compiled 8 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 3 out of their 11 chances to get a save. The Royals relievers have a save rate of 72.7% and has entered the game in 27 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 15 holds so far this season (18th in the league). Royals relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 15 times in addition to having 34 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Kansas City Royals have accumulated 780 putouts this year, as well as 277 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which is 4th in baseball, and have a total of 22 double plays. The Royals have transformed 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,340 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 11th in professional baseball.

Lugo has thrown 166 innings and has 177 strikeouts during his career. Lugo (8-10 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.44 while he has gone up against 699 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.90 (72 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.283. He has allowed 146 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 67 free passes.

The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with an on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .230 on the season. They have been rung up on 217 occasions (26th in the league) and have recorded 220 hits. Toronto is sitting with 27 home runs so far this season as well as 101 RBIs. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .370 and they are scoring 3.63 runs per contest (26th in MLB). They have recorded 49 two-baggers, while getting a free base 107 times as well as notching 109 runs.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.376 in addition to having a FIP of 4.61 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.20 (236 strikeouts vs 100 walks). They are sitting at 25th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 255. They have conceded 40 home runs and they allow 4.60 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 132 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.29 (123 earned runs yielded).

Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have tallied 9 saves. They are ranked 1st in baseball holding a save rate of 90.0%, and they have sent 95 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Their relievers have come in 15 times in high leverage situations and also on 34 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score rate of 25.0% out of their 52 inherited base runners. With 29 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 19 holds and 1 blown save.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 25 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in MLB). The Blue Jays have recorded 254 assists, 16 errors and have amassed 774 putouts on the campaign. In their 2,322 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Bassitt has given up 1,172 hits and he has 1,218 K's in 1,250 innings pitched. Bassitt (87-67 career record) is the owner of a 4.06 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 564 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.238 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and he has gone up against 5,267 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-130) and under 7.5 runs

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